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Stay away from consumer cyclicals, especially those that only have exposure to U.S. markets.

I agree with your advice on moving out of USD denominated securities. I have overweighed my longer-term portfolio into non-USD denominated investments. However, I’m assuming that skep-tic is looking for a conservative investment with a 1 year time horizon. I am in a very similar position with my “down payment on a house fund”. For a short-term investment with little risk, I still think the 6-month T-Bill at 4.76% in a decent option

As we’ve all seen from our little bubble hobby here, the most useful advice is objective advice.

If it is biased, it good to know why and how as you analyze it.

Same is true for investments and invesmtent sales.

chicago

Your reply was exactly what I expected And thank you. I am doing a combo of the things you suggested and just wanted to know if I should be getting pro advice at this point. Again thanks.

Actually, due my professional work, I am somewhat limited in how I can answer your question. Suffice it to say that the risk profile of your investing should match the intended use of your investment.

In plain English – if your money is for a down payment, then you need to keep it in liquid form. In 2004, you were punished for doing so, but thanks to the Fed, short-term rates are very palatable in 2006. Further, you are not rewarded for extending out in maturity of fixed income instruments, so why not stay short. I wouldn’t use CD’s of more than 1 year at this point, and wait until mid-May if you can. The Fed fund rate may be at 5% by then.

Note, FDIC-insurance is only for $100,000 per person, per institution. If you are really concerned about security, hold your balances at more than one bank. I agree that multiple banks could be a logistical nightmare, but if you are comfortable with web-commerce, some combination of ING and the other obvious ones, is not a bad idea.

In terms of general investing, I can’t give specifics, because I approach someone’s situation from a holistic standpoint, and stock-tips [while fun], generally just run up your expenses, and don’t help you outperform over time.

I will say that I think the stock market has a shot for a good run as money pours out of real estate and has to go somewhere.

I hope this was half-way helpful.

Sorry for being a wet blanket.

chicago

That 4.75% though is only for a short time. ING is usually 3.80.