Now you can speculate on real estate without owning anything…

From Polymarket:

Polymarket and Parcl Announce Partnership to Launch Real Estate Prediction Markets Powered by Parcl Indices

Parcl, the real-time housing data and onchain real estate platform, and Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, today announced a partnership to bring Parcl’s daily housing price indices to a new suite of real estate prediction markets on Polymarket.

The partnership will introduce housing-focused markets that settle against Parcl’s published price indices, giving traders and analysts an objective, data-driven reference point for forecasting where home prices are headed. Polymarket will list and operate the markets; Parcl will provide independent index data and settlement reference values designed for transparent verification.

Housing is the largest asset class in the world, but it’s still hard to express a clean view on price direction without taking on property-level complexity, leverage, or long timelines. By combining Parcl’s daily indices with Polymarket’s event-market structure, the partnership offers a simpler way to trade housing outcomes, with clear settlement rules and public, auditable resolution data.

“Prediction markets are gaining substantial momentum and represent a paradigm shift in how views are expressed, and truth is identified,” said Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl. “Parcl is the source of truth for real-estate pricing, and we believe real estate should be a major category within the prediction-market ecosystem. Polymarket is a pioneer in the space, and we’re excited to partner with them.”

“Prediction markets work best when the data is clear, and the outcome can be verified without debate,” said Matthew Modabber, CMO of Polymarket. “Parcl’s daily housing indices give us a strong foundation to launch housing markets that settle transparently and consistently. Real estate should be a first-class category in prediction markets, and this partnership is how we get there.”

Initial markets will focus on major U.S. housing markets. Market templates will include questions tied to index movement across defined periods, such as whether a city’s home price index finishes up or down over a month, quarter, or year, as well as threshold-style outcomes that settle against published index values.

To improve transparency for traders, each market will reference a dedicated Parcl resolution page showing the final settlement value, historical index context, and the methodology used to calculate the index. This gives participants a single, consistent source of truth for verifying outcomes.

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54 Responses to Now you can speculate on real estate without owning anything…

  1. Chad Powers says:

    1

  2. Dark Phoenix says:

    2001: “9/11, never forget!”
    2025: “we forgot”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bc747VAbDVA

  3. Arc says:

    Five years since January 6, 2021.

    A coup to try to overturn an election lost.

    Don’t let them rewrite history. This was an attack on the Constitution and the peaceful transfer of power.

    Never forget.

  4. Art says:

    As members of Congress were meeting to certify the presidential election result, more than 2,000 insurrectionist forced their way into the Capitol, smashing windows and overturning barricades.
    They chanted about their desire to hang Vice President Mike Pence and track down Representative Nancy Pelosi. Fearing for their lives, elected officials, their aides and people who happened to be visiting the Capitol scrambled to find safe hiding spaces. The rioters eventually broke into the Senate chamber.

  5. Dark Phoenix says:

    Art,

    Capturing Nancy Pelosi wouldn’t really be a bad thing. She was about as nice as Maduro.

    Sure it’s wrong for both, but I would like to see her in handcuffs and an orange jumpsuit.

  6. Fast Eddie says:

    To improve transparency for traders, each market will reference a dedicated Parcl resolution page showing the final settlement value, historical index context, and the methodology used to calculate the index. This gives participants a single, consistent source of truth for verifying outcomes.

    Is this like a housing Blockchain? Who’s making money off this venture?

  7. Dark Phoenix says:

    BASKING RIDGE, NJ

    On Dec. 8: A resident of White Tail Lane reported the theft of around $1.5 million in cryptocurrency. The Detective Bureau is investigating the incident.

    Maybe Crypto took it. 🤣

  8. Dark Phoenix says:

    Man Stabs NJ Firefighter During NYE Ocean Rescue.

    Who has more value?

    Firefighter or Police Dog?

  9. 3b says:

    Dark: Yeah, Nancy Pelosi s husband and Warren Buffet two Wall Street legends.

  10. Chicago says:

    Ten 417

  11. Boomer Remover says:

    Chad,
    There’s a $3K coffee grinder on my kitchen counter. That said, I have a real soft spot for the super-automatic espresso machines that are so ubiquitous along EU highways and byways.

    Gas-station coffee in Italy is genuinely an experience: walk up to the bar to order, drink from real ceramic cups, down the hatch, thank the barista, and head out to the car.

  12. Chad Powers says:

    Boomer Remover,
    The coffee experience on the Autostrada is like something out of the 1950s. The numerous helpers all wearing their little hats, etc. Expresso Macchiato being the most popular classic order and routinely drank while standing at the counter. I drank three of those a day when I lived in Italy. Any after 3 pm and I was so wired I couldn‘t get to sleep at night.

    I need a new machine as my old one broke. I like ones from Melitta. I had a Jura years ago but they are expensive and are also expensive to fix when they need to be repaired.

  13. White Trash Eddie says:

    House democrats are holding a hearing on the January 6th protest.

    LMFAO!!!!

  14. 3b says:

    Apparently Iran’s supreme leader Khameni has plans to flee to Moscow if his regime loses control of the situation. Trump will take credit for that if it happens. How ironic, if the old guy in bed sheets flees to Russia one of the great Satan’s.

  15. Dark Phoenix says:

    Boomer Remover says:
    January 6, 2026 at 9:22 am
    Chad,
    There’s a $3K coffee grinder on my kitchen counter.

    My dad has got me worried, I think he’s goin’ soft
    There’s half a ton of fertiliser stowed up in our loft
    “Are you gonna be a farmer, dad?” I asked him just for fun
    He said “Don’t be an eejit, pass the coffee grinder son!”

    [Chorus]
    Well, my old man’s a provo with a beret and a gun
    I haven’t seen him lately, he’s always on the run
    He looks so really trendy in his shades and DM boots
    Far cooler than those other dads in ties and shirts and suits

  16. Fast Eddie says:

    Silver is over $80 per ounce.

  17. Dark Phoenix says:

    Dolt:

    “It feels like these data center companies have just put a big target on our backs,” said Kyle Schmidt, leader of the newly formed Protect Sand Springs Alliance. “We are all asking: Where are the people we elected who promised to protect us from these big corporations trying to steamroll us? The people who are supposed to be standing up and protecting us are standing down and caving.”

  18. 3b says:

    Chad: On all the highway rest stops in Portugal, Croatia, and Slovenia, they all offered fresh cooked full meals, along with anything else you might want. The restauramts were spotless including the bathrooms, and the meals were served on real China and silverware. and alcoholic beverages available.

  19. RentL0rd says:

    What happens when the prediction market itself drives the market? Isn’t that how polls also work? Should this be regulated? Is there anything we don’t gamble on?

  20. Dark Phoenix says:

    Nothing like capitalism in action:

    3b says:
    January 6, 2026 at 10:35 am
    Chad: On all the highway rest stops in Portugal, Croatia, and Slovenia, they all offered fresh cooked full meals, along with anything else you might want. The restauramts were spotless including the bathrooms, and the meals were served on real China and silverware. and alcoholic beverages available.

  21. Dark Phoenix says:

    alcoholic beverages available.

    Yup, we need that here in America.

    Job security for me, and more drunk videos to watch.

  22. 3b says:

    Dark: Here is another one for ya!

    I drove my Saracen through your garden last night
    (Sing  up the ‘Ra)
    I  kicked your front door down around at midnight
    (Sing up the ‘Ra)
    Oh something’s telling me boy, you’re avoiding me
    And  when I find you, you will go for your tea

    Chorus:

    Oh  I’ve got a brand new shiny helmet and a pair of kinky boots
    I’ve got a lovely new flak jacket and a lovely khaki suit
    And  when we go on night patrol we hold each other’s hands
    We are the British Army and we’re here to take your land

  23. Dark Phoenix says:

    RentL0rd says:
    January 6, 2026 at 10:36 am
    What happens when the prediction market itself drives the market?

    Two words.

    Edward Bernays.

    Hey fast eddie, can you track the price of small arms ammunition? Cause you are gonna need it in the future.

  24. Fast Eddie says:

    Hey fast eddie, can you track the price of small arms ammunition? Cause you are gonna need it in the future.

    The Patriots have a few trillion rounds; the anti-American left has edible crayons.

  25. 3b says:

    Dark: Europe is different. People can have one or two beverages with a meal and not get shit faced like the USA, and then get behind the wheel. Many tourist buses also on these highways,and the drivers are not allowed to drink, whether that is enforced or not I don’t know.

  26. Dark Phoenix says:

    3b
    I know that one, and all of them. Its a classic. Blood on the risers is also a favorite.

    But he mentioned a coffee grinder, and that is what I thought of.

    Doc Martens make some nice combat boots.

  27. Dark Phoenix says:

    eddie,
    for your patriot brothers.

    And it’s down along the Falls Road it’s where I long to be
    Lying in the dark with a Provo company
    A comrade on me left, aye another one on me right
    A clip of ammunition for me little Armalite

    [Verse 1]
    I was stopped by a soldier, he said, “You are a swine”
    He hit me with his rifle and he kicked me in the groin
    I begged and I pleaded, all my manners were polite
    But all the time I’m thinking of me little Armalite

  28. Chad Powers says:

    3b,
    I‘ve only passed though Portugal. Hopefully we can get out and do some traveling this year. I have to say that I‘m relieved to have a German passport now. Traveling as a US citizen can be dangerous. Trump is a person who is either loved or despised worldwide. I‘m just an average guy and don’t need any additional drama in life.

  29. 3b says:

    Chad: You will enjoy Portugal, it is one of our favorites. I hear you on the passports. We do the same.

  30. Boomer Remover says:

    I need to get my kid that EU passport. Paperwork is in the drawer; I just need to bring it completion with the consulate in the city. Bleh. Customer service is not Europe’s strong suit.

    There’s def a place for a full auto machine in the home. I had a Jura back in the day. IMO, the name of the game with full autos is to look for a machine with the highest beverage temperature as full autos struggle to reach the same temps as a traditional machine.

    People in Europe rarely drink and drive as the penalties for being caught are quite high. 0.0-.0.2% is already a flag. One can lose your driving privileges for 3-15 years, for more egregious offenses, one’s vehicle may be confiscated and permanently forfeited to the state.

    When I asked for a drink to be poured at a get together on Sunday evening, the person pouring asked if I was driving in the AM. What?

  31. 3b says:

    Boomer: We got ours for our kids years ago.

  32. Walking says:

    From today’s muduro photo shoot. Guy looks like a giant amongst our FBI agents was not aware he was that tall

  33. 3b says:

    Dark: Have you ever been to the Falls Road?

  34. 3b says:

    Walking: And he looks like he has not missed a meal either, yet many of his people went hungry everyday.

  35. Roxanne Ardary says:

    Who’s Behind Parcl

    Founder & CEO: Trevor Bacon, who co-founded the company and leads it as Chief Executive Officer.

    Co-Founder & COO: Kellan Grenier, who co-founded Parcl and serves as Chief Operating Officer.

    The company is privately owned and not publicly traded, meaning ownership is held by its founders and private investors rather than public shareholders.

    Company Details

    Founded: 2021

    Headquarters: Listed as New York, New York, United States (with some business registrations indicating Tortola, British Virgin Islands)

    Industry: Real estate investing, blockchain/Web3, decentralized finance

    Here’s a summary of Trevor Bacon’s background in finance and hedge funds based on public profiles and company info:

    📌 Professional Hedge Fund and Finance Background

    1. Hedge Fund Portfolio Manager

    Before founding Parcl, Trevor Bacon worked for over a decade in finance, including as a portfolio manager at several hedge funds, where he focused on technology-related investments (such as software, payments, and internet companies).

    One specific role cited is being a Portfolio Manager at Force Hill Capital Management LP (a hedge fund).

    2. Wall Street and Investment Experience

    He also held significant roles in traditional finance:
    • Vice President (VP) at Barclays where he worked in equity research before moving into hedge fund portfolio management.
    • His career started at Lazard Capital Markets as an equity research associate.

    3. Focus Areas in Investing

    His hedge fund investing experience has been largely sector-specific, particularly in technology and payments, where he also encountered blockchain and digital assets, which later influenced his move into the Web3/crypto space.

    4. Transition to Entrepreneurship

    After years as a portfolio manager and finance professional, Bacon left traditional hedge fund roles to start Parcl in 2021 — a blockchain-native platform for trading real-estate price exposure.

    —–
    Trying to control the narrative or hedging his bets?

  36. Dark Phoenix says:

    No
    but i am familiar with the history.

    3b says:
    January 6, 2026 at 12:02 pm
    Dark: Have you ever been to the Falls Road?

  37. Dark Phoenix says:

    Don’t pretend we cared about those people. If there wasn’t any oil there, the USA would have no interest at all.

    Way too much pearl clutching in America these days.

    3b says:
    January 6, 2026 at 12:04 pm
    Walking: And he looks like he has not missed a meal either, yet many of his people went hungry everyday.

  38. Walking says:

    Dark , true lots of other hungry places that never make the news.

    As for Muduros waist size and height would be nice to see him shoulder to shoulder with president. Maybe they can setup some cages on the Whitehouse lawn and have a battle bot event.

  39. Dark Phoenix says:

    Maduro:
    Knock down this fargin wall you sonamabatch.

    This means fargin war.

  40. 3b says:

    Dark: It was just an observation on my part. Maduro, Kim, Stalin, all Socialists/ Communists, all fat, their people went hungry. No pearl clutching on my part.

  41. 3b says:

    Dark: Surprised most Americans are not familiar.

  42. Walking says:

    Question – anyone using CIPs , Chinas cross border trade system or digital yaun as a way to avoid SWIFT when settling crude oil trade? I heard some guy was about to a few days ago , but have not heard how that went for him.

  43. Fast Eddie says:

    My 401K!! My 401K!!

    Oh… never mind.

  44. Libturd says:

    Our little man got the flu. On the Tamiflu and he had the shot. Seems the shot’s effectiveness is about 10%, but it will still shorten the length of the sickness fortunately. On the bright side, all of his therapies will be cancelled so I can continue cranking on the home improvement. Helps that it has warmed up quite a bit. I have $1,000 worth of wainscot weathering in the basement since black Friday, waiting for some warmer weather. I prefer to do all of the cutting outside to control the sawdust.

  45. Libturd says:

    “My 401K!! My 401K!!”

    It’s a coming.

    How’s everyone’s healthcare increases? Our policy is up $250 on the year and our deductibles increased. Cost for ER doubled from $100 to $200. Haven’t looked at the formulary yet, but not optimistic.

  46. Dark Phoenix says:

    Libturd says:
    January 6, 2026 at 12:55 pm
    “My 401K!! My 401K!!”

    It’s a coming.

    How’s everyone’s healthcare increases? Our policy is up $250 on the year and our deductibles increased. Cost for ER doubled from $100 to $200. Haven’t looked at the formulary yet, but not optimistic.

    Step 1. Buy a house in Texas near the border.
    Step 2. Cross the border and get your medications for the non-parasitic bleed you like a tick price.

    profit.

  47. Dark Phoenix says:

    3b says:
    January 6, 2026 at 12:37 pm
    Dark: Surprised most Americans are not familiar.

    Really??
    didn’t you see my earlier post with a bunch of people who know nothing about 9/11?

  48. Boomer Remover says:

    I couldn’t believe the antibiotic prescribed by the urgent care doc was 5 EUR in Croatia. I tried to explain the US BS to the cashier, but she could not comprehend it all.

    Maduro would WALLOP Trump. No contest.

  49. SmallGovConservative says:

    Boomer Remover says:
    January 6, 2026 at 5:19 pm
    “Maduro would WALLOP Trump”

    Celia would WALLOP SlowJoe, Tampon Tim, Schmuck Shumer, PencilNeck Schiff, Petey Buttplug and any of the Dem stooges here that voted for those limp-wristed imbeciles.

  50. Juice Box says:

    re: “didn’t you see my earlier post with a bunch of people who know nothing about 9/11?”

    I was explaining to an engineer today that the Browser Wars are back and we are now in the Third Browser War. Chrome, Edge, Perplexity, Comet AI , OpenAI Atlas etc all looking for dominance with embedded AI.

    After I explained what the Brower Wars were and when they happened the engineer laughed and said he wasn’t born for the 1st Browser War and for the 2nd Browser War was only in school….

    Sigh welcome to 2026…

  51. Boomer Remover says:

    SmallGov,
    Huh? This idea of Tump vs Maduro in a cage match has nothing to do with US elections. Stop being triggered. Nick would absolutely destroy Donny tho. Would def pay to watch.

  52. FatEddie PlaysWithPoop says:

    Financials is the key to why now.

    Amber Energy owners are tight with the king.

    https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/amber-energy-plans-hold-citgo-refineries-after-takeover-2025-12-01/

    Venezuela has a lot of defaulted both sovereign and oil company PDVSA debt. The fund to be created is to pay off those debts which have been bought up by vultures funds favorable to the king. This is no different that what France did to Haiti after they declared independence.

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