Housing optimism dips, but still very high

From Yahoo Finance:

US housing market optimism slides

Optimism about the U.S. housing market may have peaked after hitting its all-time high in August, according to a measure of consumer sentiment.

The Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index slid 2.3 points in September to 91.5, down from 93.8, its peak a month earlier. It was the greatest percentage point loss since December 2018. This follows a steep increase in sentiment in the first eight months of 2019. The waning optimism may reflect anxiety about the national economy after the yield curve inverted, signaling a looming recession, and amid weak manufacturing and services data and the September jobs report, which showed hiring slowed.

“Consumer sentiment remains relatively strong overall, though uncertainty about the economy and individual financial circumstances appear to be weighing on housing market attitudes a bit more than a month ago,” said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist of Fannie Mae, in a statement.

The latest Fannie Mae National Housing Survey found that just over half of Americans said the economy is on the right track, but a strong 40% said it is on the wrong track. The study showed that more Americans think the time is right to buy or to sell, though respondents favored selling over buying 44% to 28% respectively.

As the preference to sell rose, fewer Americans believe home prices would rise in the next 12 months. Only 29% of respondents thought home prices would continue to rise in the next 12 months, a 7 percentage point drop from last month, continuing a three-month decline. Home price growth was unchanged in July, after a 15-month slowdown, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller national home price index.

This entry was posted in Demographics, Economics, Employment, Housing Recovery, National Real Estate. Bookmark the permalink.

84 Responses to Housing optimism dips, but still very high

  1. Mike says:

    good morning new jersey

  2. dentss dunnigan says:

    Economy is booming …..!

  3. grim says:

    Healthcare is booming.

    From the Star Ledger:

    Health insurance costs to rise for N.J. residents who buy their own plans

    New Jerseyans who buy their own health insurance policies will pay higher premiums next year.

    The rates will rise on average from 6.5 percent to 19 percent, depending on which of the four carriers they select, according the state Department of Banking and Insurance, which announced the changes Monday.

    Premiums are rising in New Jersey and across nation largely because the price of medical care is going up. A federal health insurance tax is responsible for 2.7 percent of the increase, the department said.

  4. grim says:

    This has nothing to do with NJ or real estate, just a hilarious headline.

    Somehow, I think maybe not the best strategy…..

    Bang & Olufsen Enlists Former BlackBerry Manager for Revival

  5. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    On extreme temperatures: More people die from cold temperatures than from hot temperatures.

    We collected data for 384 locations in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Taiwan, Thailand, UK, and USA. We fitted a standard time-series Poisson model for each location, controlling for trends and day of the week. We estimated temperature–mortality associations with a distributed lag non-linear model with 21 days of lag, and then pooled them in a multivariate metaregression that included country indicators and temperature average and range. We calculated attributable deaths for heat and cold, defined as temperatures above and below the optimum temperature, which corresponded to the point of minimum mortality, and for moderate and extreme temperatures, defined using cutoffs at the 2·5th and 97·5th temperature percentiles.
    Findings

    We analysed 74 225 200 deaths in various periods between 1985 and 2012. In total, 7·71% (95% empirical CI 7·43–7·91) of mortality was attributable to non-optimum temperature in the selected countries within the study period, with substantial differences between countries, ranging from 3·37% (3·06 to 3·63) in Thailand to 11·00% (9·29 to 12·47) in China. The temperature percentile of minimum mortality varied from roughly the 60th percentile in tropical areas to about the 80–90th percentile in temperate regions. More temperature-attributable deaths were caused by cold (7·29%, 7·02–7·49) than by heat (0·42%, 0·39–0·44). Extreme cold and hot temperatures were responsible for 0·86% (0·84–0·87) of total mortality.
    Interpretation

    Most of the temperature-related mortality burden was attributable to the contribution of cold. The effect of days of extreme temperature was substantially less than that attributable to milder but non-optimum weather. This evidence has important implications for the planning of public-health interventions to minimise the health consequences of adverse temperatures, and for predictions of future effect in climate-change scenarios.

  6. grim says:

    In other news, China continues to act like a baby:

    ‘South Park’ creators issue mock apology to China after reportedly being censored

    On Monday, Beijing reportedly responded by deleting all clips, episodes and online discussions of the long-running comedy program.

    Alibaba shopping sites appear to have de-listed Houston Rockets products in China

    Searches for “Houston Rockets” and “Rockets” in Chinese on Alibaba-owned Taobao and Tmall and another site JD.com, yielded no results.

    It comes after Rockets general manager Daryl Morey tweeted support for the anti-government protestors in Hong Kong. The tweet was quickly deleted.

  7. grim says:

    Meanwhile, liberals continue to rail against Trump’s trade war with China. Calls Trump Hitler, but defends a country actually acting like Hitler, complete with real concentration camps, forced sterilization, abortions, and other atrocities.

    China is quickly becoming the most dangerous country in the world, the single greatest threat to democracy around the world. Starting to feel like war with China is becoming a very real possibility. Iran, North Korea, Russia? Kids games in comparison.

    China accused of genocide over forced abortions of Uighur Muslim women as escapees reveal widespread sexual torture

  8. Libturd, channelling ExPat says:

    Alert General Tso. But, try not to wake his Happy Family or the Mongolian Lamb.

  9. Tuesday IgnoranceBitesBack says:

    Grim,

    Are you starting to wake up and see reality? https://youtu.be/JI8AMRbqY6w

    Are you realizing that the locust boomer leaders did indeed do too much LSD and other substances that fried their brains to think the Chinese Communist Party was not bad?.

    Are you feeling guilty about your part on globalization and damaged done to the country, democracy and freedom?

    Trump in his infinite lunacy is actually making the right decisions for the wrong reasons. Look at the Syria kurds thing, plays bad in the ivory tower 200k+ year crowd where the kids go to private everything, but plays great in Michigan where the family of the kid that join the uniform services because it was better than WalMart feels relief that their son will not die in another camel molesting loving part of the world.

  10. Tuesday IgnoranceBitesBack says:

    China was always about world domination. They are right there next to the Germans in that area.

    China and Russia had several wars in the late 60’s over border. The bigger issue was, who was going to be the big Commie in Charge – Moscow or Peking?

  11. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    If there is no trade with China, they will fall into the abyss. Their values are incompatible with real capitalism. The only way they can continue to grow is by siphoning off wealth through mercantilism and the exploitation of cheapnlavor..

  12. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    The Democratic party needs to figure out a set of values that are actually compatible with one another if they want to win any elections.

  13. grim says:

    Are you feeling guilty about your part on globalization and damaged done to the country, democracy and freedom?

    No, I can point to the work we’ve done in Central America as being hugely positive to the regional economy, as well as to the US. I feel far more strongly about offshoring to near-shore markets as being regionally positive vs. far offshoring (India, etc).

  14. grim says:

    Mortgage delinquency in NJ continues to drop relative to the other states, we’re falling farther down the rankings. No #1 for us.

    July 2019 Serious Delinquency Rate
    New York – 2.7%
    Mississippi – 2.5%
    Louisiana – 2.4%
    Maine – 2.1%
    New Jersey – 2.1%
    Maryland – 1.9%
    Delaware – 1.9%
    Connecticut – 1.8%
    Arkansas – 1.8%
    Pennsylvania – 1.8%

  15. Juice Box says:

    So they finally figured out it might be a bad idea to open the portal bridge during rush hour for the Bergen County turd barge?

    https://www.nj.com/traffic/2019/10/the-rusty-commute-killing-portal-bridge-will-never-open-during-rush-hour-again.html

  16. Juice Box says:

    guilty ?

    99% of the crap in your house was made overseas by itty bitty little hands of children in many many cases.

  17. grim says:

    The fix is so fucking simple, yet they continue to push the only option being a billion dollar bridge.

  18. 1987 Condo says:

    So we literally needed an Act of Congress to make sure, the most of obvious of things, not raising the bridge during rush hour is done…ugh..

  19. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls says:

    “billion dollar bridge.”

    Taxpayer’s money is so easy to spend. Perhaps they’ll name the portal bridge replacement after a politician? If it’ll work like one of those old Murphy Beds then they should call it the Murphy Bridge. Or better yet, the Sweeney Leanie.

  20. grim says:

    End navigatable status on the Hackensack. Make it an environmental preserve and ban any motorized boat traffic.

    Fix the bridge in place, or if necessary, build a fixed bridge.

    Done. I saved a billion dollars.

  21. Juice Box says:

    Apparently the turd barge is no more since 2016, it’s trucked now.

  22. Juice Box says:

    Menendez has his sights on the bridge as his legacy.

  23. Libturd says:

    Coal burning power plant was only major customer left and that ended a few years ago. Nothing like delaying tens of thousands of customers so the coal pile can go from 40 to 50 feet. Wouldn’t want to make the tug driver charge overtime.

    NJ government at work.

  24. 1987 Condo says:

    The Menendez Portal Bridge to the Trump Gateway Tunnel…perfect together

  25. chicagofinance says:

    Even adjusted for inflation, there is so much development that has been built in harm’s way in the last 30 years.

    Blue Ribbon Teacher says:
    October 7, 2019 at 11:37 pm
    Again, completely statistically invalid argument based on the number of data points. The idea that storms have become more intense is usually cited by dollars in damage. They rarely adjust for inflation.

  26. chicagofinance says:

    Why not name the turd barge after Menendez?

    Juice Box says:
    October 8, 2019 at 9:20 am
    Apparently the turd barge is no more since 2016, it’s trucked now.

  27. chicagofinance says:

    Human starvation does not have a root cause in climate change. Corrupt government and ethnic hatred are the main causes for human suffering. Let’s focus our money and effort there….

    Blue Ribbon Teacher says:
    October 8, 2019 at 7:53 am
    On extreme temperatures: More people die from cold temperatures than from hot temperatures.

  28. Juice Box says:

    Bye Bye keyless entry apartments in NYC it’s wacist!

    “Landlords’ increasing use of smart keys, facial recognition, biometric scanning, and other technology poses a serious threat to the rights of tenants, one that falls disproportionately on lower-income communities of color who are already subject to greater surveillance in their daily lives,”

    https://therealdeal.com/2019/10/07/nyc-seeks-to-rein-in-keyless-technology-in-apartment-buildings/

  29. ExEssex says:

    During the 2016 campaign, President Donald Trump made an aggressive promise on federal finances: He would eliminate the budget deficit within eight years. Now, three years into his presidency, the deficit is 68 percent higher than when he started.

    Trump inherited a deficit of $585 billion when he took office in January 2017. That was 58 percent lower than the $1.4 trillion former President Barack Obama inherited in 2009 following the financial crisis, a number his administration slashed over two terms.

    According to the latest Congressional Budget Office data released on Monday, the full-year deficit for 2019 is estimated to come in at $984 billion, just shy of the $1 trillion that many analysts were expecting. In 2018 the figure was $779 billion and in 2017 it was $665 billion.

  30. ExEssex says:

    Now go ahead and tell me how f’ing good a jump that sh”t head Trump is doing?

    Go ahead bitchez – a whole ur at it – suuuuuuck a diiiiick.

  31. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    It’s impossible to reign in the budget without shutting down every overseas base. I’m all for it, but it’s not happening. Anyone that claims they will do otherwise without that conversation is just lying.

  32. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    The hurricane narrative is very unscientific as well. Some people look at the recorded hurricanes over the past 150 years and conclude they are more frequent. They are completely ignorant of the fact that we weren’t good at detecting hurricanes at sea in 1890.

    The increasing intensity of the storms is also a myth. There were plenty of record breaking devastating hurricanes early on in the century. People act like they never happened.

  33. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls. says:

    The article posted late last night was one of the least convincing. Truth is, the Earth is most likely tilting more on it’s axis. It does wobble. This is proven.

    Heck, the climatologists can’t even predict the weather accurately a day in advance. Why are they so trusted in making forecasts where there is definitely an inherent bias to continue to support, well, their personal well being (their own jobs). And be very weary of any report that points to local temperature changes as proof. For every spot that hits record highs, there are others hitting record lows. This is just random weather.

  34. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/

    However, the density of reporting ship traffic over the Atlantic was relatively sparse during the early decades of this record, such that if storms from the modern era (post 1965) had hypothetically occurred during those earlier decades, a substantial number of storms would likely not have been directly observed by the ship-based “observing network of opportunity.” We find that, after adjusting for such an estimated number of missing storms, there remains just a small nominally positive upward trend in tropical storm occurrence from 1878-2006. Statistical tests indicate that this trend is not significantly distinguishable from zero.

    In addition, Landsea et al. (2010) note that the rising trend in Atlantic tropical storm counts is almost entirely due to increases in short-duration (<2 day) storms alone. Such short-lived storms were particularly likely to have been overlooked in the earlier parts of the record, as they would have had less opportunity for chance encounters with ship traffic.

  35. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls says:

    Not trying to jinx it, but anyone notice anything nicer about this place recently?

  36. Fast Eddie says:

    Essex,

    Until you field an old school democrat who concentrates on bigger things than gender realignments and blaming the so-called privileged class, then shut the f.uck up. We can diminish that deficit very quickly be eliminating a lot of cradle to grave programs that suck the soul of the courageous class. Government is not an all-you-can-eat buffet.

  37. Libturd says:

    Stop BRT. This doesn’t fit the narrative.

    Too bad the narrative is what so many Trump disciples, lefties and especially children, can’t distinguish from the truth. Of course for Trump, it’s much easier as his followers are a bunch of uneducated patriotic hillbillies who think Italians live in huts since that’s where pizza comes from.

  38. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    To be honest, like Peterson said, people cannot distinguish the science from the politics. I make my arguments from the science side.

    Climate change denial is real and regularly practiced by people on the right with no background to have an opinion. Climate change support from the left is real and is regularly practice by an equal amount of people who have never once even taken a look at the data.

    Both act like cults.

    That being said, the field of climatology is very primitive and has a lot to gain over time as they incorporate more careful methods regularly practiced in Medicine, Physics, and Chemistry. But, the idea that climate forecasting is even close to an accepted science is a joke.

    You can take the worlds best quantum physicists and they will tell you, you come up with a model…all based on the laws of physics, to solve for the energy of a small molecule. Then, scale it up to larger molecules. It actually gives you great qualitative results. Quantitative…not so much.

    The problem? Anything beyond 2 bodies is technically impossible to find an exact solution. So a 3 body problem can only be estimated. As can a 4 or a 5. We have methods and supercomputers that do these things for us but the assumptions and parameters we need to fix to force it to converge to a solution compromises the accuracy of our results.

    The earth is not a 10 body problem, it’s a gazillion body problem to the nth degree with all kinds of chaotic factors not accounted for.

  39. chicagofinance says:

    wit… good stuff

    Libturd says:
    October 8, 2019 at 12:03 pm
    Of course for Trump, it’s much easier as his followers are a bunch of uneducated patriotic hillbillies who think Italians live in huts since that’s where pizza comes from.

  40. chicagofinance says:

    Anyone who has spent time trying to mimic real world data using a mathematical model realizes very quickly how complex systems truly are, even accounting for just a few variables.

    When we talk about the earth’s atmosphere and all of the inputs to prediction, it is complex enough to model, without even considering all the external factors that are unknown or not measurable…… the fudge as it were… and it cuts to the heart of exactly what Peterson is saying….. the error is large, but then when it is compounded over several years or even decades, it renders the conclusion suspect at best….. and how are remedial sets supposed to be critiqued anyway?

    But bottom line, the concept “the science is settled” is pure hubris and is implicitly agenda signaling.

    However, humility and objectivity won’t get people voting to invite Elon Musk to a$$rape the country.

    Blue Ribbon Teacher says:
    October 8, 2019 at 12:20 pm
    To be honest, like Peterson said, people cannot distinguish the science from the politics. I make my arguments from the science side.

  41. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    The way they can move forward is to back test it as new data is gathered to see if it works. They rarely do that and have moved on to new predictions.

  42. The Great Pumpkin says:

    So should we abandon capitalism because the long-term models don’t work and have never worked?

    This climate change position is pure ignorance. We have 7 billion people impacting the planet we live on. To ignore this and act like there is nothing to worry about is pure stupidity. It’s just as bad as the losers that used this movement to make a buck off fear. Both are risking our future on this planet. Plain and simple. Why would we want not want to address this issue?

    chicagofinance says:
    October 8, 2019 at 12:51 pm
    Anyone who has spent time trying to mimic real world data using a mathematical model realizes very quickly how complex systems truly are, even accounting for just a few variables.

  43. Juice Box says:

    Print until the cows come home dead or alive.

    Powell “Fed contemplating buying more Treasuries”

    Translation fire up the helicopters.

  44. ExEssex says:

    Perhaps it’s me but I just don’t think Trump is much of a leader.

  45. Juice Box says:

    Nope it’s not just you there are plenty of folks out there who are triggered beyond reason.

  46. leftwing says:

    “Searches for “Houston Rockets” and “Rockets” in Chinese on Alibaba-owned Taobao and Tmall and another site JD.com, yielded no results.”

    So Sunday I saw that mainstream media killed two Trump commercials regarding the impeachment (non)inquiry. I went on to Google to get one of the commercials.

    Took me at least ten minutes, couldn’t find it.

    Any search for the commercial – “Lap Dog” – returned numerous articles on the topic….starting with HuffPost, WaPo, CNN…..

    You guys know me well enough, in no universe would my search history lead any engine to recommend those sites.

    No result for any ‘right’ media. No link to Trump’s website. Moreover, the liberal press returned had no links to the actual commercial in the content of their stories.

    It was as if the commercial itself did not exist.

    Had to actually go directly to Trump’s website and scroll through to find it.

    Yeah, our Big Data aren’t biased. My arse.

  47. No One says:

    One thing that is for sure – anyone who tries to publish articles contradicting the idea that climate change is the world’s greatest problem will be attacked and vilified. In contrast, even the worst kind of forecasting, if it fits the agenda and uses some semblance of methodology, is likely to get headlines, approval, and government grants.
    It’s a growing gravy train, and climate scientists as a profession have hopped on board, declaring themselves the world’s most important scientists.

    Such a dynamic requires a lot of skepticism. Much the same way that economic forecasters predict that without their expert advice and sweet jobs at central banks and treasuries and the like, the world’s economies will fall apart. (When they are the ones inventing the most harm).

  48. leftwing says:

    And neither are our politicians of course….label opposing opinion hate speech, racist, or untrue and it – poof – your opposition just disappears….

    How fcuking convenient is that.

  49. leftwing says:

    From the sh1t barge article….

    “U.S. Senator Bob Menendez, D-N.J., ranking member of the Senate’s transit subcommittee, will announce Tuesday morning that the U.S. Coast Guard will make the peak rush hour marine traffic restrictions permanent…[t]his is fantastic news for rail commuters said Senator Menendez…Senator Menendez deserves much credit for pushing this effort and I will continue to work with him…said Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-NY.”

    So let me get this right….

    Two senior United States senators from our Metropolitan area are doing a victory lap and patting eachother on the back for – wait now, drumroll please –

    Rescheduling a barge twice a day?

    Fcuking A, Congrats Guys!! Well done!! Woo-Hoo!! Way to go!!

    Jesus Christ…..

  50. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls. says:

    No one doubts media bias. No one doubts academia trends left. No one doubts that the left can be as pig-nosed as the right.

    But this does not account for Trump’s constant lies and complete denial that the POTUS can do anything wrong, even when caught red handed. His behavior in this impeachment is deplorable. His attempt to smear the name of everyone who even questions his acts or motives and his immediate name calling is tired, old and entertains no one except his disciples who are too stupid to even look or care to check if anything he says is actually true. Nor do they even blink an eye when their leader makes fun of the Special Olympics or parades the caucus of young black entrepreneurs through the Oval office to say, “See, a couple of black people actually support me (in exchange for the exposure).”

    So yes, the media is biased. But no, they are not so biased that they would risk their existence by publishing straight up lies and making fun of the mothers of everyone who does not agree with them.

  51. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls says:

    Left,

    The Dem machine in NJ is all about public image and complete against the public good. They are interested in only maintaining power so they can continue to keep the gravy train running. Though I can think of plenty of former NJ Republicans who follow the same strategy. Frelinghuysen comes to mind, when he supported the property tax deduction reduction to kiss the ass of his federal god while taking a giant dump on his constituents.

    As to the whole climate change agenda. It really was not that big of an issue until the right made it one of their divisive issues. Same with the stupid wall. A non-issue until the moron in chief decided he needed a scapegoat that the hicks could rally behind.

  52. ExEssex says:

    Rather Trump tries feeble deflections and old man yelling at cloud persona.
    White pride indeed.

  53. Fast Eddie says:

    Trump’s problem and the right for that matter is their inability to manufacture a crisis. Since he’s been elected, we’ve had Russian collusion, Stormy, Kavanaugh, Ukraine and who knows what else I missed. These are the Left’s accomplishments and the media sucks it up. Forget missing emails, dossiers and FISA warrants. You want real stories? There they are. The Obama DOJ and FBI lied to the FISA court. What did the p.ussy Obama know and when did he know it? But the media never had any of that stuff on the front burner, did they? This is an attempted coup by the leftists. Please, give me a f.ucking break.

  54. chicagofinance says:

    Tremendous point.

    Blue Ribbon Teacher says:
    October 8, 2019 at 1:02 pm
    The way they can move forward is to back test it as new data is gathered to see if it works. They rarely do that and have moved on to new predictions.

  55. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls. says:

    It’s a coup to save the country from mass stupidity and ignorance.

    Manufacturing, even after the largest federal subsidy since the great depression has failed.

    The stock market, Trump’s pride and joy, looks like it’s rolling over.

    The meaningless wall? Not built.

    Health care is now even a bigger mess as rates on personal policies are skyrocketing.

    The only thing Trump seems to have succeeded in is suckering his disciples into believing he has actually made progress on making America Great (whatever the fuyck that means).

    The truth is, Trump may just have ruined the country. Give this recession time to take hold. Remember, he begged for the fed to empty their bullets. Good luck turning this one around.

  56. Bystander says:

    ..or, Ed, you could just also be backing a very, very sh&tty president.

  57. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls. says:

    Vix closed above 20. Add that to the list of signs of incoming stock market pain. Or let it serve as a reminder to buy cough drops.

  58. chicagofinance says:

    When this was first reported, it was couched in a way that implied “….black man in Texas gave witness testimony to put a cop in jail. Some pissed off white person executed him as revenge in the days after the trial ended.”

    Now the truth…
    https://nypost.com/2019/10/08/joshua-brown-gunned-down-in-drug-deal-after-testifying-in-guyger-case/

  59. leftwing says:

    “the media is biased. But no, they are not so biased….” LOL.

    So, you do understand there is no impeachment inquiry. The Left are too cowardly to take the vote to open an inquiry and put their ‘moderate’ members on the record. Yet the lapdog media keeps shouting ‘impeachment inquiry’ from the roof tops. You want one, vote it, you bunch of leftist pussies. Stop having your captive media do your dirty work for you.

    Also, Trump did not ask a foreign government to investigate a political opponent. He asked a foreign government to investigate the highly questionable role of and compensation to the coke-addled son of the then sitting Vice President who had zero expertise in the sector in which he was advising and did not even speak the country’s language. Are we saying that provided a politician continues to run for office he is above reproach for past misdeeds?

    I mean, it’s not like Trump hired a foreign spy to investigate a private US citizen who was running for President, now, right?

    And to the point of whether Trump’s actions rise to the level of impeachment…any liberal can run rampant getting maximum airtime making every and any claim that Trump’s actions are ‘impeachable offenses’. Notwithstanding that constitutional law is among the most complex and nuanced areas of jurisprudence, and that neither the broadcasters nor the braying liberal donkeys have any depth of knowledge in it whatsoever. Yet Trump uses the term ‘Lap Dog’ regarding their views and he is silenced.

    I’m no fan of the Orange One but I have literally not seen a politician have so many of the media lined up so hard against him.

    Keep it up. That blatant bias is worth enough votes to swing some purple districts in some very important places.

  60. Bystander says:

    Poor Donald, sniff, sniff..the media is mean to me though I am literally mean to everyone who does not kiss my Orange a$$. I have unmatched wisdom, ya know.

  61. leftwing says:

    Again, keep it coming because it keeps me smiling. Markets are beginning to price in a Warren nomination, I have no problem with that…as you know I’ve been a big fan of that for well over a year now.

    Legged into a few more positions today….give me another three weeks and if you toss the Orange One out and annoint that crazy ass sour faced cunt the nominee on the off chance she wins I’ll buy a good piece of CR on November 4, 2020…I’ll keep a lot or two open for Lib of course.

  62. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls. says:

    Thanks Left.

    What happens here hardly changes a thing there. Which is kinda what explains why I’m moving.

  63. The Great Pumpkin says:

    Joe,

    Anti-climate change groups are demanding perfection in an imperfect world. What you should focus on is the fact that they were indeed correct 40 years ago when they realized we were causing the planet to warm at an alarming rate. They might not have been precisely correct, but they were damn well correct in their position. Go look at the North Pole, it has dramatically changed in the past 30 years. Go look at the oceans, and you will see the same evidence.

    I’m sorry, right wingers are insane in their position with climate change. You really want to take these clowns serious and ignore the impact of over 7 billion humans on this planet? Keep telling yourself there is no price to pay if we don’t stop burning massive amounts of fossil fuels. F it, let’s burn more baby, our actions have no impact on the future of our climate. Listen to blue, more people have died of cold weather. Stupidity.

    Guess nothing to worry about.

    Joe says:
    October 8, 2019 at 4:20 pm
    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/climate/al-gore-forecast-there-would-be-no-ice-remaining-at-the-north-pole-by-2013

    Another failed climate forecast

  64. No One says:

    Trump has the Dunning-Kreuger even worse than Pumpkin. Lies about his past work as well. But Trump is meaner. He’s forever been a BS-artist connections kind of guy. Like Pumpkin he wants attention, craves positive attention but he’ll take negative attention over nothing.
    He’s destroying the Republican party by ripping out whatever decent intellectual foundations and character it had. He’s perhaps the least presidential president ever. He also kisses the asses of the worst kind of tyrants, while attacking allies. Whoever comes to flatter his vanity is temporarily ok. Sure I cannot stand the leftist democrats, but that doesn’t make Trump any good.

  65. The Great Pumpkin says:

    And last time I will address the idea that I lie.

    How did you find out who I am if I’m a liar? I lied about my occupation. You saw the reaction in yesterday’s post. Exactly why I didn’t want to bring that up. I didn’t want to be constantly attacked because of my occupation which you clowns proved exactly why. You don’t respect the profession, and pump out false narratives on a regular basis. You only respect blue because he is just as anti teacher as you guys. Head up his a$$ with his ap students, not knowing a damn thing about what other teachers go through on a daily basis.

    As to how I can post? You clearly don’t understand that good teaching is not lecturing. It’s having a perfectly planned out lesson in which the students know their task from the first minute they walk in to the last minute they walk out. It’s an extremely challenging job, and you fools think it’s a walk in the park. Sure..

    I’m not allowed to sit down at my job for God’s sake. How many of you deal with conditions like this? Now tell me how easy the job is. Grass is always greener on the other side.

    Lefty,

    Now you know why I claimed teachers are managers now? They must use data driven instruction based on an unrealistic student load. You try managing and being held accountable for 150 teenagers that don’t give a damn about learning. So f’n easy. And then have 10 bosses above you micromanaging your every move.

  66. The Great Pumpkin says:

    Aka when a teacher goes to “work,” they already did most of the work for the lesson already at home. Joe public doesn’t get it and doesn’t have a damn clue to how toxic the teaching profession has become. You better have thick skin, get ready to be harassed by administrators with unattainable expectations, and be accountable to teenagers that think school is a prison sentence. Don’t even get me started with the parents..

  67. The Great Pumpkin says:

    I’m Tom cruise and it’s mission impossible for me on a daily basis. I come out of work feeling defeated on a daily basis. Then I get to listen to jerk offs claim the job is overpaid and easy. Hilarious.

  68. The Great Pumpkin says:

    All the postings about getting raises were true. I just used my wife, family members, and friends as talking points. All are killing it. Meanwhile I’m stuck listening to how good teachers have it. What a joke, it’s hilarious how out of touch joe public is.

    I don’t know one person crying about raises or salary except on this blog. Not a peep from anyone I know.

    I have a dumbass friend that became an electrician. He now talks about how he is making 100 dollars an hour on side jobs and making 6 figures at his job. That’s life, not going to cry about it, but people making lots of money out there. No idea why people on this blog aren’t killing it…blows my mind for smart individuals.

  69. ExEssex says:

    Okkkkkay pumpy. That’s enough.

  70. The Great Pumpkin says:

    I wasn’t going to say anything, but i feel I had to say something.

    I’m still trying to see the downside of cleaning up our oceans and waterways, recycling, not polluting in general, clean renewable energy, eco-friendly transportation…etc. 🤷‍♀️

  71. leftwing says:

    I stopped replying directly to you nearly three years ago and encouraged everyone else to do the same because by then I knew something didn’t add up and you were a useless POS. Here’s my break from that respite.

    “You only respect blue because he is just as anti teacher as you guys.”
    No, we respect Blue because he is insightful, analytical, intelligent, entrepreneurial, and value added here.

    “And then have 10 bosses above you micromanaging your every move.”
    If you – or anyone else for that matter – has ten people micromanaging you from above it is not a flaw in the system. It is a flaw in you. They are scared to death to leave you alone because you are a walking, talking train wreck.

    “All the postings about getting raises were true. I just used my wife, family members, and friends as talking points.”
    So…you lied about your real profession and instead of just talking about your peers without any reference to yourself you appropriated pieces of them to build an ‘aggregate you’ and come on here projecting that person. Yet, somehow I can’t shake the feeling that it was the ‘real you’ publishing the details of your intimate times with your wife (yeah, that was so bizarre it’s hard to forget). You are the index of the DSM-5 social disorders. Seriously, get some therapeutic help.

    And get off here. Asshole.

  72. joyce says:

    Who personally, as well as many republicans, spend years talking about someone’s birth certificate.

    Please, give me a f.ucking break Gary.

    Bystander says:
    October 8, 2019 at 4:41 pm
    ..or, Ed, you could just also be backing a very, very sh&tty president.

  73. ExEssex says:

    Trump is pond scum.
    His supporters are fools.

  74. PatrioticHillbilly says:

    Turd, you wouldn’t have picked this up from fake news, But frelinghuysen votes against trumps tax plan.

  75. Blue Ribbon Teacher says:

    And last time I will address the idea that I lie.

    How did you find out who I am if I’m a liar? I lied about my occupation. You saw the reaction in yesterday’s post. Exactly why I didn’t want to bring that up. I didn’t want to be constantly attacked because of my occupation which you clowns proved exactly why. You don’t respect the profession, and pump out false narratives on a regular basis. You only respect blue because he is just as anti teacher as you guys. Head up his a$$ with his ap students, not knowing a damn thing about what other teachers go through on a daily basis.

    As to how I can post? You clearly don’t understand that good teaching is not lecturing. It’s having a perfectly planned out lesson in which the students know their task from the first minute they walk in to the last minute they walk out. It’s an extremely challenging job, and you fools think it’s a walk in the park. Sure..

    I’m not allowed to sit down at my job for God’s sake. How many of you deal with conditions like this? Now tell me how easy the job is. Grass is always greener on the other side.

    Lefty,

    Now you know why I claimed teachers are managers now? They must use data driven instruction based on an unrealistic student load. You try managing and being held accountable for 150 teenagers that don’t give a damn about learning. So f’n easy. And then have 10 bosses above you micromanaging your every move.

    Once again, if you would like me to leave you alone, stop addressing me. I’ve stated numerous times that I’ve taught at every single level from the lowest to AP. I’m fully aware what other teachers go through and have stated it on this blog. I have students in Harvard and Princeton right now and other students who are currently in jail or dead from a heroin overdose.

    I’m not anti teacher. I’m anti educational establishment, which includes administrative bureaucracy and the NJEA state union (not the local). My coworkers at my current school are for the most part, amazing brilliant talented individuals that are underpaid.

    I’ve worn on my shirt that I’ve been proud to be a teacher for now just over 10 years. You on the other hand, are embarrassed by that fact. On average, I write over 40 college recommendations a year.

    Do you wonder why you have 10 bosses? Maybe it’s because the government is too bloated. I went 6 months with no supervisor once…it was the most efficient the department ever ran.

    You do have it good…because you clearly lack logical skills to follow an argument yet somehow, have a job where you have tenure and are not likely to ever get fired. And that’s a great way to talk about your “friend”.

    Teaching is no walk in the park and very few are cut out for it. You’re walking out of the classroom dejected? If I were in your position, I would leave the profession and go to something where you can leave everyday with a sense of accomplishment.

    FYI, if you are good at your job, you don’t really need to plan lessons beyond your first couple of years. They can ask me to teach any topic in the entire spectrum of Physics or Chemistry and I can deliver a 1 hour lesson on that topic in 30 seconds flat.

  76. ExEssex says:

    I said earlier that the teaching profession is a drain on many peoples’ mental health.
    Seems like that is being played out here for all to see.

  77. Libturd, seen crazy things done with ping pong balls. says:

    PatrioticHillbilly,

    First, I love the name. Second, I do know, once it was pretty certain that he was getting eaten alive for his original position, he flip flopped once there were enough votes to ensure it would go through with his absence. Didn’t matter. The damage was already done. But agreed. The press didn’t make a big deal of it. Sadly, I never found him to be too bad of a Republican, until the POTUS took him down. I respected a number of his positions. Until he turned on his constituents. He was against the repeal of Obamacare and pretty fair environmentally. He was actually pretty moderate and almost centrist at times.

  78. Libturd says:

    And don’t feed the lying troll. Please ignore the compulsive liar. Expat was write. He’s not worth it.

  79. Chicago says:

    Right back atcha:
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0AjMSPoD5Hg

    ExEssex says:
    October 8, 2019 at 6:58 pm
    This one goes out to:

    https://youtu.be/U2Kyu4XURaE

Comments are closed.