“Could this be a replay of the early 1990s?”

From the Wall Street Journal:

Smaller Lenders
Feeling Squeeze
Of Credit Crunch
By SCOTT PATTERSON
February 4, 2008

The next phase of the financial crisis could be coming soon to a bank near you.

The high-yield, or junk, bond markets already have seized up. Wall Street giants, stung by toxic subprime-mortgage-related debt, have tightened their purse strings. Now, it is starting to look as if smaller banks might be catching on to the wave of risk aversion that is tightening credit around the nation. Nervous regulators, worried about lax lending standards, could amplify all of this.

Listen, for example, to Jim MacPhee, chief executive of Kalamazoo County State Bank in Schoolcraft, Mich., which has $70 million in assets and three branches. He says federal examiners have been poring over his bank’s books for weeks as part of a regular checkup. “They are scrutinizing and really drilling down into the loan portfolio like we’ve never seen them do in the past,” says Mr. MacPhee, who has been with the bank for 35 years. He says the tighter scrutiny will make it tougher for his bank to make loans.

“I’m hearing from my member bankers that the regulators from state and federal regulatory agencies are really coming in and cracking down,” says Camden Fine, president of the Independent Community Bankers of America, a trade group for small banks.

Rusty Cloutier, chief executive of little MidSouth Bank in Lafayette, La., says he is saying no to more and more borrowers. “Are we turning down more loans? Absolutely,” says Mr. Cloutier, whose bank is a unit of MidSouth Bancorp Inc., which has $854 million in assets. More people are coming to him for loans because they are being denied elsewhere.

A Federal Reserve survey of senior loan officers, expected as early as today, will shed light on the nation’s lending environment. The Fed’s October survey showed loan officers were tightening standards on everything from consumer loans to mortgages to commercial real estate.

Could this be a replay of the early 1990s? Back then, banks and savings-and-loan institutions had gone through a real-estate boom and bust, followed by a regulatory crackdown. A lasting credit crunch ensued, hurting consumer spending, small business and real estate. Now, as then, some critics are starting to say regulators are stepping in too late, clamping down on banks even as the Fed cuts rates to encourage more spending and lending.

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