October sales … UP!

From CNBC:

Home sales surged in October, just before mortgage rates jumped

A sharp drop in mortgage rates brought homebuyers off the fence in October after a slow summer.

Sales of previously owned homes last month rose 3.4% from September to a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate of 3.96 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales were 2.9% higher than October of last year, marking the first annual increase in more than three years.

This count is based on signed contracts, meaning most of the deals were made in August and September. During that time, the average rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage was falling. It started August around 6.6% and dropped to a low of 6.11% by mid-September, according to Mortgage News Daily.

“The worst of the downturn in home sales could be over, with increasing inventory leading to more transactions,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, in a release. “Additional job gains and continued economic growth appear assured, resulting in growing housing demand. However, for most first-time homebuyers, mortgage financing is critically important. While mortgage rates remain elevated, they are expected to stabilize.”

There were 1.37 million units for sale at the end of October, an increase of 19.1% from October 2023. That puts inventory at a 4.2-month supply at the current sales pace. It is still on the leaner side, as a six-month supply is considered balanced between buyer and seller.

Tight supply continues to put upward pressure on prices. The median price of an existing home sold in October was $407,200, an increase of 4% from the year before. By price category, the higher end of the market is seeing more activity than the lower end.

“We still need another 30% in inventory just to get us back to the pre-Covid conditions,” Yun said.

The share of all-cash buyers pulled back to 27%, down from 29% in October 2023. That is still high historically, but lower mortgage rates likely caused that share to drop.

First-time buyers made up 27% of sales, down from 28% the year before and still historically low. They usually make up 40% of sales.

This entry was posted in Economics, Housing Bubble, National Real Estate. Bookmark the permalink.

35 Responses to October sales … UP!

  1. Hold my beer says:

    First

  2. Hak Tua, Chief grabs 'em by the pussy says:

    Sceond

  3. Very Stable Genius says:

    we have tremendous challenges in public education.

    the wrestling lady heading dept of education is a massive problem.
    middle aged female teachers dating students.
    An epidemic of daily mass school shootings from domestic born young terrorists.

    yet ChiFi’s main beef is typical rightwinger complaining about illegals increasing the price of sodas in public schools.

  4. Chicago says:

    I hate those illegals. They increase the price of soda in public schools.

  5. BRT says:

    The DOE does zero for education. It’s a pure patronage pit fronting as an organization that has an actual function of your tax dollars.

  6. SmallGovConservative says:

    Very Stable Genius says:
    November 22, 2024 at 8:10 am
    “complaining about illegals increasing the price of sodas in public schools.”

    Nice to see that you’re finally referring to illegal immigrants as ‘illegals’, rather than ‘migrants’. I bet that Fat Alvin’s assistant DA who just got mugged by one of them, will start using the correct term as well. Of all of the disasters caused by SlowJoe and his team of imbeciles, his open border ‘policy’ is likely to be the most disastrous. Beat it, Joe — and don’t let the door hit you in the diaper on the way out!

  7. Phoenix says:

    Very Stable Genius says:
    November 22, 2024 at 8:10 am

    we have tremendous challenges in public education.

    Oh yeah we do. NJ is supposed to be one of the best in Amerikkka.
    Go ask any kid under 30 what Three Mile Island is.
    I’ve done my research, none, none at all has a clue. You would think some dumbazz history teacher would let the youth know about the worst nuclear disaster in America-how close it came to melting down, and how it would have affected the People’s republic of New Joisey.

    Guess local history isn’t taught here.

  8. Phoenix says:

    Chicago says:
    November 22, 2024 at 8:43 am

    I hate those illegals. They increase the price of soda in public schools.

    Find me one that looks like Camilla Cabello. I’ll help her get her citizenship.

  9. Phoenix says:

    The princesses in my profession. Cop gets the win on this for me.

    https://youtu.be/RfcW-ZKbkdU?t=772

  10. Fast Eddie says:

    While mortgage rates remain elevated, they are expected to stabilize.”

    This Yun guy is such a politician. How amusing. Donuts are round. My dog pees. Rates are expected to stabilize… what the fuck does that even mean? There’s still no inventory and prices are in the exosphere. Pay me.

  11. Phoenix says:

    Even better time stamp. Gonna love this one

    https://youtu.be/RfcW-ZKbkdU?t=870

  12. Phoenix says:

    And here is another drama queen from my profession. Is this what happens when you grow up privileged?

    https://youtu.be/hz6rIegwGLk?t=525

  13. TraitorJoe says:

    How is that Iowa poll looking? -3 still? The fake news lady who created it’s career is now over.

  14. Juice Box says:

    Three Mile Island –

    Lots of books written about the incident. However the meltdown has been attributed to a one very fat American who’s large belly caused the meltdown.

    For you see the emergency cooling pumps had infact activated, but a “block valve” was closed and the water was not flowing. In the control room the valve position lights for the block valve were covered by a yellow maintenance tag and the operator “Homer Simpson” did not see the maintence tag because his very fat belly was blocking the view.

    All true folks..

    Take a look inside reactor 1 control room here this is being restarted again since it was shut down 5 years ago… at the new “Microsoft” Crane Clean Energy Center (CCEC)

    Take a look at the pictures, this control room should be in a museum not running again.. 1960s design by General Electric.

    https://local21news.com/news/local/gallery/crane-clean-energy-center-three-mile-island-unit-1-constellation-energy-restart-plans-2028-goal-pennsylvania-middletown-nuclear-power-plant-microsoft-purchase-agreement-pjm-grid-october-2024?photo=1

  15. Phoenix says:

    Juice,

    Ask any 25 year old if they ever even heard of Three Mile Island.

    They think it’s a f’n resort. I’m telling you, I asked so many.

    It’s NOT taught to them. At all. Almost like it was some sort of taboo thing that is never to be spoken about.

    Too bad Gordon Lightfoot isn’t alive, maybe he could have written a song about it.

  16. Phoenix says:

    I guess the Chinese kids are good at hacking, and the American kids are good at drinking and being brats to the PoPo when caught drunk driving.

    And our government, while spying on us, just leaves the door to the vault open for the Chinese to walk on in and take what they want. Hehe:

    The Chinese government espionage campaign that has deeply penetrated more than a dozen U.S. telecommunications companies is the “worst telecom hack in our nation’s history — by far,” a senior U.S. senator told The Washington Post in an interview this week.

    The hackers, part of a group dubbed Salt Typhoon, have been able to listen in on audio calls in real time and have in some cases moved from one telecom network to another, exploiting relationships of “trust,” said Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Virginia), chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee and a former telecom venture capitalist. Warner added that intruders are still in the networks.

    Though fewer than 150 victims have been identified and notified by the FBI — most of them in the D.C. region, the records of people those individuals have called or sent text messages to run into the “millions,” he said, “and that number could go up dramatically.”

    Those records could provide further information to help the Chinese identify other people whose devices they want to target, he said. “My hair’s on fire,” Warner said.

    Those details, some previously undisclosed, add to the alarming understanding of the scope of the hack since late September, when the U.S. government, after being alerted by industry, began to grasp its seriousness. “The American people need to know” how serious the intrusion is, Warner said.

    The hackers targeted the phones of Donald Trump and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, as well as people working for the campaign of Vice President Kamala Harris and State Department officials.

    The effort was not directly election-related, Warner noted, as the hackers got into the telecom systems months earlier — in some cases more than a year ago.

    The networks are still compromised, and booting the hackers out could involve physically replacing “literally thousands and thousands and thousands of pieces of equipment across the country,” specifically outdated routers and switches, Warner said.

    “This is an ongoing effort by China to infiltrate telecom systems around the world, to exfiltrate huge amounts of data,” he said.

    The Salt Typhoon telecom breach makes Colonial Pipeline and SolarWinds — major cyberattacks linked, respectively, to Russian-speaking criminals and to the Russian government — “look like child’s play,” Warner said.

  17. Fast Eddie says:

    Too bad Gordon Lightfoot isn’t alive, maybe he could have written a song about it.

    “Does anyone know where the love of God goes when the waves turn the minutes to hours.”

  18. Phoenix says:

    Great line, right Eddie?

  19. Fast Eddie says:

    Great song… incredible song writer. He told stories with intense passion. Bob Dylan said when listening to him, he never wanted the songs to end.

    We related to people like Dylan, Lightfoot, Neil Young, Joni Mitchell, Cat Stevens, etc.

    This generation has Taylor Swift. Ugh!! The agony!

  20. 1987 Condo says:

    Gordon Lightfoot…….read about Cathy Smith who messed with the Band and they wrote “The Weight” about her, then she messed with Lightfoot, and he wrote “Sundown” about her, and then she killed John Belushi….

  21. Fast Eddie says:

    Cathy Smith… some baggage there, no? ;) Well, she’s dead now but… ha!

  22. RentL0rd says:

    8:44 >> The DOE does zero for education. It’s a pure patronage pit fronting as an organization that has an actual function of your tax dollars

    You couldn’t be more wrong.

    Education cannot be run like a business. The grants given to higher ed constitute about 14% of income for state colleges like our own Rutgers.

    And she is not even a college grad!

    There is currently a multi-faceted war against education by the new bozos in town.

  23. 3b says:

    Rent: I would argue there has been a war on education long before the new bozos in town.

  24. Fast Eddie says:

    If the kids can’t read, write or do math, who should we blame?

  25. Hak Tua, Chief grabs 'em by the pussy says:

    ‘There is currently a multi-faceted war against education by the new bozos in town.”

    Correct and correct.

    The old school Dems used to have educators in their pockets for their union endorsement and votes. But as always, too many mandates from too many patronage appointees and they lost them both.

    Old school Republicans wanted vouchers over public school funding so they could pay for the rich kids prep schooling.

    MAGA wants to defund education so everyone will stay as dumb as they are so they can stay in power.

  26. Juice Box says:

    re ” state colleges like our own Rutgers”

    A real model of efficiency for sure.

  27. RentL0rd says:

    >> If the kids can’t read, write or do math, who should we blame?

    Definitely not banning books or stopping evolution or critical race theory

  28. Kristi Noem says:

    Well, once you’ve been read to by a drag queen, you never want to read again in fear of being converted into one.

  29. Libturd says:

    Forget the DOW. How about my SOFI!

  30. EnvyTheGreenMonster IsRunningAmok says:

    And you know why there is a war on education…..

    -Take the well known keep the population dumb and away from critical thinking skills that was always in the right wing and religious crowd, best seen in MS, AL, LS. OK and alikes.

    -Add the point of view brought forward by Peter Turchin in his book – End Times. Which means if you look at the advisory crowd around OrangeTurd, all are frustrated elites aspirants. I’m copying and pasting this book blurb below.

    Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why.

    The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin When the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, political instability is all but inevitable. As income inequality surges and prosperity flows disproportionately into the hands of the elites, the common people suffer, and society-wide efforts to become an elite grow ever more frenzied. He calls this process the wealth pump; it’s a world of the damned and the saved. And since the number of such positions remains relatively fixed, the overproduction of elites inevitably leads to frustrated elite aspirants, who harness popular resentment to turn against the established order. Turchin’s models show that when this state has been reached, societies become locked in a death spiral it’s very hard to exit.

    In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late.

  31. Chicago says:

    Who has their Bitcoin 100K hat?

  32. Chicago says:

    The soda is too damned high.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KAUmJa6duBk&pp=ygUUZGVwZWNoZSBtb2RlIHN1bmRvd24%3D
    1987 Condo says:
    November 22, 2024 at 10:20 am
    Gordon Lightfoot…….read about Cathy Smith who messed with the Band and they wrote “The Weight” about her, then she messed with Lightfoot, and he wrote “Sundown” about her, and then she killed John Belushi….

  33. Juice Box says:

    Yeah we need those too. $1.25 billion per missile battery and $12.6 million per missile fired.

    Another Day another escalation.

    https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-tgaad-1989489

  34. Fast Eddie says:

    Daniel Jones has been released.

  35. OC1 says:

    Oh he’s a football player.

    I googled him, thinking he was a murderer or a Jan 6 guy.

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