Simmer Down

From Redfin:

The Typical Home Is Taking Nearly 2 Months to Sell. That’s The Slowest Pace in 5 Years.

Homes are selling at their slowest pace since the start of the pandemic, and fewer homes are turning over, as mortgage rates and home prices remain elevated. This is according to Redfin data as of the four weeks ending January 26:

  • The typical U.S. home listing that went under contract sat  on the market for 54 days before the seller accepted an offer, the longest span since March 2020 and a week longer than this time last year. At this time in 2022, during the pandemic-driven homebuying boom, the typical home was selling in 35 days. 
  • There were 5.2 months of supply on the market, the most since February 2019 and up from 4.9 months a year earlier. Months of supply is the length of time it would take for the existing supply of homes to be bought up at the market’s current sales pace; a longer span means homes are sitting on the market longer and signals a buyer’s market. 
  • Pending home sales were down 9.4% year over year, the biggest decline since September 2023. 

Sales are slow because it’s very expensive to buy a home, with mortgage rates sitting near 7% and home prices up 4.8% year over year. The median monthly housing payment is $2,753, just shy of April’s record high. Additionally, extreme weather–including snow and frigid cold in the Midwest, South and Northeast and wildfires in Southern California–are keeping would-be buyers at home. 

The market may pick up in the coming weeks as mortgage rates fall–at least slightly–from their early January peak, and new listings tick up. Additionally, Redfin agents expect some buyers to step off the sidelines soon as they get tired of waiting for rates and prices to come down. 

“Prospective buyers have been cautious because they’ve seen homes sitting on the market and they’ve heard interest rates and prices may drop. When the market isn’t competitive, some buyers think they should wait for costs to go down,” said Jordan Hammond, a Redfin Premier agent in Raleigh, N.C. “Now it’s pretty clear that sellers aren’t slashing asking prices and mortgage rates aren’t plummeting, so mindsets are shifting. People are starting to believe that if they want or need to move, and they can afford to, they should do it.”

This entry was posted in Demographics, Economics, Employment, Housing Bubble, National Real Estate. Bookmark the permalink.

197 Responses to Simmer Down

  1. RentL0rd says:

    Uno!

  2. Very Stable Genius says:

    NEWS ANALYSIS
    From Anguish to Aggression: Trump Goes on Offense After Midair Collision
    President Trump at moments of national tragedy has always been more comfortable finding fault than providing comfort or expressing empathy.

    After TWA Flight 800 crashed in New York in 1996, President Bill Clinton asked “to pull together and work together.”

    Five years later, when American Airlines Flight 587 fell out of the sky, President George W. Bush predicted that the “resilient and strong and courageous people” of New York would get through the tragedy

    In 2009, after a Colgan Air plane crashed near Buffalo, President Barack Obama said that “tragic events such as these remind us of the fragility of life.”

    And then there was President Trump. In the wake of this week’s midair collision near Washington, Mr. Trump was more than happy to jump to conclusions and pull the country apart rather than together. After declaring it to be an “hour of anguish for our nation,” Mr. Trump just five minutes later let anguish give way to aggression as he blamed diversity policies promoted by Mr. Obama and former President Joseph R. Biden Jr. for the crash, which killed 67 people.

    “Trump doesn’t lead with empathy,” said Olivia Troye, who served on the White House Covid task force staff before later publicly criticizing the president’s management of the pandemic. “He exploits tragedy for whatever political grievance he’s peddling at the moment, never offering the comfort or stability a president should.”

  3. grim says:

    Some late thoughts on Deepseek.

    1) Their training costs are wildly understated and unrealistic. What wasn’t obvious the other day, it’s becoming far more obvious now. Their $5m was basically the power/rental cost for GPU hours, and didn’t include any human labor to get there. Similar sized models would probably come in at $10-15m calculated similarly, so sure, a bit more efficient, but not anywhere near an order of magnitude. Deepseek’s headcount is in the hundreds, they have hundreds of researchers cited in their papers, they likely have hundreds more people doing data work.

    2) Their training costs were for the tiny v3 model, not the r1 model everyone is comparing against from a performance perspective. Again, an odd sleight of hand. v3 is based on “distilled” data from R1. So again, lots of synthetic data, and a far smaller model. Even using 10,000 gimped H800’s, this is serious hardware. Oh, BTW, now they have another 10,000 A100’s they admitted to. Again, still, no comments on the hardware used to train R1, only V3. By the way, this is NORTH OF $500 million in hardware, not including datacenter, networking, power, building, labor, etc. So maybe close to a billion in total investment?

    3) It’s going to turn out deepseek is using huge datacenter in Singapore. Again, this is only starting to bleed out. Looking at Nvidia’s sales data, a huge portion of sales have been going into Singapore. This is simply Chinese companies operating offshore. It’s going to turn out that Deepseek has well over 10k modern GPUs that were used for training. Some estimates have the number north of 50,000, which is not a stretch.

    4) There are two interesting innovations. The first is a huge reliance on synthetic data for AI model training, which likely came from OpenAI. The second is something called multi-head latent attention, which overly simplified, is just a more efficient way of managing the matrix multiplication associated with “attention heads”. Everyone sees this, it was published. Literally everyone is now adding this “innovation” into their AI models. By the way, this MLA technique was widely shared publicly by deepseek more than 6 months ago, for example: https://towardsai.net/p/artificial-intelligence/a-visual-walkthrough-of-deepseeks-multi-head-latent-attention-mla-%EF%B8%8F

    5) Inference time compute is still absolutely massive. I am running the R1 model locally and it’s an absolute PIG. I ran a quantized (compressed, dumbed down) model in approximately 450gb of RAM/VRAM. I just purchased a whole new set of RAM for my AI box, upgrading the 384gb of RAM to 768gb of RAM, and then layering on another 120gb of VRAM for a total of just shy of 900gb of total ram. In modern datacenter GPU terms, this would require an 8x H200 GPU server, which currently runs just under half a million a box. By rig gets me just about 1 token a second, brutally slow. A single 8x H200 GPU can probably serve only 3-4 users simultaneously. Inference still requires massive compute. If you read this correctly, yes, I did spend $700 on more ram just to run the full size Deepseek R1 locally. My local AI machines (including my 2x super micro cluster) probably cost me $30k or something now. The cluster requires a 240v 50a circuit to run, BTW. 4 2kw 240v power supplies, they pull damn near 8kw when inferencing.

    6) Deepseek R1 is not monumentally better than OpenAI o1. It hallucinates like crazy, it’s completely biased (to what extent, nobody will ever really know). It also has nowhere near the multilingual capability. I suspect that Deepseek simply doesn’t have the headcount/manpower to manage the data. It’s arguable that if you cut adjusted the proportion of multilingual data in OpenAI models, you could see similar “performance” improvements in English.

    7) The thought that fewer GPUs will be required is completely nonsense. The argument that China is beating the US is completely nonsense. What we should now realize is that it’s incredibly easy to be a fast follower. Innovation absolutely stands on the shoulders of giants here. Without Google Deepmind/Transformers, Huggingface, OpenAI, Meta’s LLAMA, Deepseek would have nothing. Literally 90-95% of what Deepseek is doing, is based on what is “standard” right now.

    8) Do not, do not, do not, fall for Nvidia’s purported performance improvements of new hardware. They routinely compare very different metrics from generation to generation to show huge performance gains, when in reality, these are relatively minor. An 8-year old P40 GPU is still pretty damn good. Putting it side by side to a modern PCI-card GPU, is maybe 50%-100% faster. 8 years worth of improvements, at best twice as fast, this is not a big number.

    9) Deepseek was well known in the AI community, open source community, for a while now. Deepseek released their Coder model like 14-18 months ago, and tons of people played with it at the time (tens of thousands, maybe more). So congratulations to the market for finally acknowledging them and the billion they spent to get there. Disregard the nonsensical origin story being concocted that this was a side project of 5 guys at a hedge fund. This is a huge, modern technology company with billions in funding and likely some very shady violations of trade law.

  4. Very Stable Genius says:

    Should I download the app on my iPhone or use via reflexity?

    grim says:
    January 31, 2025 at 6:52 am
    Some late thoughts on Deepseek.

  5. Fast Eddie says:

    Grim, nice analysis and nice pivot from the daily onslaught of the mentally I’ll muppets.

  6. Juice Box says:

    Tariffs coming for Canada tomorrow.

    Take a knee Treadeau and spare the people of the north.

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-tariffs-goal-unclear-1.7444985

    Mexico is going to be a tough nut to crack to stop the flow of fentanyl…will trump shut the border completely?

  7. Fast Eddie says:

    “Now it’s pretty clear that sellers aren’t slashing asking prices and mortgage rates aren’t plummeting, so mindsets are shifting. People are starting to believe that if they want or need to move, and they can afford to, they should do it.”

    Buy now or be priced out forever.

  8. Fast Eddie says:

    Mexico is going to be a tough nut to crack to stop the flow of fentanyl…will trump shut the border completely?

    165,000 pills were seized in Denver in one day. Multiply that by every corner of the U.S. China has been killing us softly and it took some common sense to realize it.

  9. Very Stable Genius says:

    Is it gonna make eggs great again?

    Juice Box says:
    January 31, 2025 at 7:25 am

    Tariffs coming for Canada tomorrow.

  10. Juice Box says:

    I am of course completely right again. Bigly winning as Trumptards would say.

    Thanks Grim for your detailed write up on Temu AI.

    You get what you pay for, in this case GIGO ( garbage in and garbage out).

  11. RentL0rd says:

    The bottom line though, the moment the first LLM was released, it became a commodity, as sythetic /distilled training is a lot cheaper.

    I also heard a few more things that made deepseek cheaper-

    1) they coded in a lower level language and could optimize better, although not as interoperable.

    2) they used samsung chips alongside nvidia, proving that with careful architecture, nvidia is not the only option.

    3) and we dont need an llm that will do everything. We could have separate llms for medicine, oil industry or robotics. We dont need one for all.

    – what i learnt from a guy in the ai industry.

    My personal experience with ai is dated. I had a paper published in 1995 on how to recognize patterns using neural networks.

  12. Juice Box says:

    Grim is going for an exaflop of AI processing power in his basement……

    Of course Elon has the best rig 100,000 GPUs all connected with a special 800 GB/S switch. SN5600 switches cost like $70,000 each and only have 64 ports. Elon’s rig has allot of ports and switches. Grok is a Funny AI too……

    Save the Robots….

  13. Juice Box says:

    Japan bending the knee to Trump.

    Supports new 800 mile long LNG pipeline in Alaska.

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/japan-weighs-alaska-lng-pipeline-pledge-win-trumps-favour-2025-01-31/

  14. grim says:

    1) they coded in a lower level language and could optimize better, although not as interoperable.

    We’re seeing this everywhere though now. Spend an hour going through the llama.cpp repo in Github. There are still years worth of minor performance tweaks to be made.

    https://github.com/ggerganov/llama.cpp/pulls – 300-ish, open pull requests all focused on low-level performance improvements and new functionality. This is an open source project, written in C, for exactly the same reason. Data scientists are sloppy, the code in interpreted languages like Python, slow as shit.

    Moving this much data is completely rethinking the software and hardware paradigm. To the extent that a supercomputer, just two or three years old, is completely useless for modern transformer-based AI. Useless, garbage. I don’t care if it cost a half a billion dollars, it’s useless. The whole reason we’re talking GPU at all.

  15. grim says:

    Bulgarian developer Georgi Gerganov (guy who started llama.cpp) should get way more credit than even Deepseek. What he did with GGUF was totally foundational to the explosion in open source AI we’re seeing, and totally foundational to what Deepseek is doing.

    How this dude isn’t getting paid $5m a year from OpenAI or Google is beyond me.

  16. grim says:

    Nvidia’s control on the supply side, especially consumer-grade high VRAM cards, has a huge part of the open source community gearing up to replicate CUDA on AMD hardware.

    Literally, because there are tons of used, cheap, AMD GPUs that you can get on eBay.

    These guys will get there, they’ll open up new architectures, just because the prices of 4090s are stupid high, and 5090s sold out in 2 seconds, and you can still find AMD 32gb HBM2 cards on eBay for $400 bucks.

    Literally, Nvidia is entirely risking losing market dominance because it’s not making cheaper GPUs available to hobbyists. Ironic that the broad market thinks Deepseek will bring down OpenAI and nVidia. In reality, a bunch of cheapo hobby developers pissed off at Nvidia’s gaming cards being hard to get, and too expensive, are going to down them.

  17. RwntL0rd says:

    I see anyone trying to be the first to do with ai as a losing proposition.

    Once it’s out, it will be reverse engineered or distilled. Unless of course it is totally close sourced, like openAI – which even so, had competitors launch within months.

  18. RentL0rd says:

    The reasoning steps, where deepseek, navigates using phrases instead of words as tokens is giving so much more better results. This may require a big refactoring for american algorithms.

    Lets give credit where it is due. Deepseek beat us. Even if it mean shoving other leaders to the side in an ugly way like Trump did at a global meet.

  19. grim says:

    Intel are idiots by the way too.

    They could easily be winning this race, but their CPU hardware just don’t have enough memory bandwidth to compete with GPU.

    This is why Mac pros have gotten so popular. Modern AI is a game of memory bandwidth first, processing power second.

    This is why the last gen supercomputers are worthless. They have huge processing power, and shit memory bandwidth. Completely worthless for AI.

    It’s why Jensen and others are calling Digits and Mac Mini’s supercomputers. They have bandwidth that far exceeds even server memory bandwidth.

    My dual xeon rigs pull 200gb/sec. More modern ones pull 400gb/sec.

    A 5 year old Nvidia 3090 gaming graphics card pulls 930gb/sec.

    The top Mac mini studios can pull 800gb/sec.

    This is why 5 year old gaming cards can hold a candle to $20,000 A100 GPUs. We’re talking 1tb per second vs. 2tb per second. Memory bandwidth is the limiter by FAR. Nvidia’s 5090 release yesterday, still only 1.8tb/sec, only twice as fast as a dirt cheap 3090 when it comes to AI.

    Intel could have been a superstar right now. Redesign CPUs for a huge number of parallel memory channels, pull a >1tb/sec using dimms. Jesus we’d be running even more enormous models.

  20. Gary’s Dad says:

    Gary – go fuck yourself you little cretin.

  21. grim says:

    The reasoning steps, where deepseek, navigates using phrases instead of words as tokens is giving so much more better results. This may require a big refactoring for american algorithms.

    Um, still tokens. Nothing different.

    Recognize that these “thinking” steps that o1 and r1 use are the equivalent of piggybacking 2, 3, 4 prompts together sequentially.

    Prompt 1: Come up with a plan to do whatever the user asked
    Prompt 2: Refine the plan you just generated
    Prompt 3: Act on the plan, generate an answer.
    Prompt 4: Review the answer

    It’s all still tokens, it’s all still basically the exact same architectures. Recognize that you can make any LLM act in a nearly identical way by doing this.

    Folks are starting to realize that a core issue of the LLM architecture is that prompt-to-response passes the entire model in one pass to yield an answer. There is no thinking or reasoning here, it’s one pass. This huge new innovation, is just allowing more passes through the model. However, given model sizes, there will be limits to this. How many recursive cycles is necessary? 3? 6? 289? This scales miserably because each pass through the models is increasing the input token count, adding more information and instructions into the next prompt for processing.

  22. njtownhomer says:

    Grim, thanks for the very well written report.

    These guys are clearly not a hedge fund. It is definitely a cover. It is most likely funded by multiple sources and well-planned ahead. Their hires are top notch and they are fine engineers.

    They did a lot of engineering enhancements that many will follow. AI2, NVIDIA, Cerebras, MSFT, DellTech all released their workflows using R1. Even llama used R1 to speed up some part of his code and credited on github.

    Their tech reports, open source (open weights mostly) availability, and their academic and business impact should not be underestimated. Last week so many coding AI programs added them, I used it myself and performed better than others. Copilor/GPT is a joke compared to R1. Overall inference will rule out the business and competition is fierce in that land. Last numbers from NVDA NIM 3800 tokens/s, Cerebras 1500 tokens/s. These with using the full 670B models I believe. Impressive throughput given they deployed the fullest model.

    In my expert domain, we have a bigger US exceptionalism. But it will also decay as the new talent is non-existent, and China develop its semi/litho capabilities on their own in the upcoming decade.

  23. RentL0rd says:

    >> But it will also decay as the new talent is non-existent

    You forgot immigration.

    America is/ was great because of immigration.

  24. grim says:

    I am running R1 in my basement. Do not for one second think that any of this is difficult to implement, it’s ridiculously easy. Unsloth had R1 model weights quantized and up on Huggingface in hours of them being released, you could run the GGUFs using llama.cpp on pretty much anything with enough memory to hold it.

    By the way, tons of companies are saying R1, and deploying V3, especially the V3 fine tunes of Qwen or Meta’s Llama. These are totally different.

    https://huggingface.co/unsloth/DeepSeek-R1-GGUF

    Follow a tutorial, you can have Deepseek R1 running on your laptop this afternoon if you wanted to.

    It’s a fun model. But I’m sure Meta’s llama4 is going to blow it out of the water, and then someone will blow them out of the water. Rinse, repeat.

  25. RentL0rd says:

    I will even go so far and say illegal immigration is a boon to america.
    It maintains a working class that cannot move up easily and makes sure the guys who flip burgers continue to flip burgers and do the work for the higher classes.

    Robots are expensive, illegal labor is cheaper.

  26. Juice Box says:

    Enterprise AI (where the real money is) will be far less demanding than AI chat that needs to quickly sever up responses to millions of concurrent users.

    There will be lots of CPUs run inferencing. This is what AMD and Intel are building now. Intel has (MCR) DIMMs….and other tech on the way geared towards inference workloads.

  27. njtownhomer says:

    >> But it will also decay as the new talent is non-existent
    >You forgot immigration.
    I know, but even the young talent doesn’t want to do hard-core engineering, hard-core science. Talent is moving to AI/CS. The pay is orders of magnitude higher there.

  28. Grim says:

    Offshore labor is still far less expensive than AI.

    Philippines is less than half the cost of gpt-4o real time, and India is about a fifth.

    OpenAI prices need to come down by at least an order of magnitude to be cost effective against offshore labor.

  29. Chicago says:

    Market returns from Tuesday forward support grim’s analysis, including weakness in NVDA. The other issue is about strength of hyperscalers moats. grim is suggesting that those moats will persist, because DeepSeek does not crack the need-to-spend. It is why there was a broad selloff that reversed. Also power requirements are maintained, also supported by valuations.

  30. grim says:

    Not even talking about fancy models like OpenAI’s “Operator”, Agentic models that can look at a screen and click a mouse.

    They are far too slow, and far too expensive. We need that capability, 10x more performant, and 1/10th the cost of the currently inexpensive GPT-4o.

    We’re a LOOONG way off people, a LONG way off.

    At this rate, the ROI to replace a lawyer is far better than to replace a call center agent.

  31. SmallGovConservative says:

    RentL0rd says:
    January 31, 2025 at 9:05 am
    “illegal immigration is a boon to america”

    Have you mentioned that Laken Riley and Jocelyn Nungaray’s families?

  32. Juice Box says:

    re: “We’re a LOOONG way off people, a LONG way off.”

    Same for AGI……

    Sam Altman is as Elon says. “Swindly Sam”

  33. grim says:

    Power requirements. Lol. $30 a day is what my rig costs if I let it grind non-stop.

    8kw, 24 hours, $0.15kwh – $30

    I could charge my Tesla 3 times in that same timeframe, with that much power.

    Let’s hope we don’t have a Tesla in every driveway, and an AI machine in every house. Our poor grid can’t deliver.

    Fire up the coal plants China. It’s not going to be AI that kills people, it’s going to be the pollution.

  34. njtownhomer says:

    imho power requirement will come down. The quantized small models can run on iphones and such. Also agentic/operator submodels will be specialized with small mem requirements as well as small power requirements. The power is not on the compute but on the memory movement. HBM’s will help.

    I’d say the AI will be brought to edge, enterprise will remain on hyperscaler, but Apple still have a chance with its better architecture with good enough bandwidth to run o1/r1 like models on the iphone offline. Huawei may beat them to it though

  35. RentL0rd says:

    Small man 9:19,
    No, but the las vegas massacre and every school shooting victims parents know who is a bigger threat. Including Natalie Rupnow’s friends.

  36. grim says:

    For sure.

    But right now, Deepseek R1 is not any faster or more performance than Llama 405b running similar model sizes/quants.

    Anyone thinking R1 is running high end AI on 1/10th of the hardware is misguided. It needs exactly the same hardware.

  37. Myth says:

    The Big Myth: How American Business Taught Us to Loathe Government and Love the Free Market (Oreskes & Conway, 2023), written by Naomi Oreskes and Erik Conway, is a vital resource for those trying to navigate a world where the government is demonized by many and corporations receive the rights of citizens from our courts. The blame, the authors contend, is the seemingly wrong-headed ideology of economic freedom which seeks to prevent governmental efforts to regulate corporate behaviors at odds with the wellbeing of society as a whole. This ideology also forms the foundation of actions seeking to overturn established public policies that have been addressing these excesses for decades if not longer. The authors previously collaborated on the bestselling book Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming (Oreskes & Conway, 2010), a treatise on how corporations conspired to subvert proven science to continue to be able to sell their products despite evidence of the harmful nature of their products. As the authors state in their acknowledgements, Merchants of Doubt is in essence a “what they did” while The Big Myth is a “why they did it.”

  38. Grim says:

    We are decades from high quality on edge devices unless you are talking about tiny models doing transcription, summarization, grammar suggestions, and generating tiny emoji graphics.

    Apple’s reliance on edge AI could be its downfall.

    The infrastructure required to for one single question to an AI “Tell me a joke about a rabbi, a priest, and a quantitative analyst walking into a bar” is exactly the same a thousand people asking a thousand questions. Occasional use doesn’t scale down locally.

  39. njtownhomer says:

    Small man 9:19,

    Same can be said for many killed in Tesla car fires, Should we deport Elon too? Remember the famous Ford Pinto case. Tesla wasn’t punished for these fires and lost people.

  40. UnitedRepDemsNeoLiberalFeudalCorporatistOfAmerica InSearchOfNewSlaves says:

    Rentlord,

    Where did you get a hold of our super secret plan?

    Who leaked it? Someone from the Walton clan, the weak Koch brother, some soft hearted?

    RentL0rd says:
    January 31, 2025 at 9:05 am
    I will even go so far and say illegal immigration is a boon to america.
    It maintains a working class that cannot move up easily and makes sure the guys who flip burgers continue to flip burgers and do the work for the higher classes.

    Robots are expensive, illegal labor is cheaper

  41. Juice Box says:

    re: “killed in Tesla car fires”

    A 2024 Chevrolet Corvette Stingray runs a quarter-mile in 11.2 seconds.
    A Bugatti Veyron 2010 car will run a quarter mile in 9.9 seconds.

    The Tesla model 3 can do a quarter mile in 10.9 seconds.

    Why would you let your kid drive a supercar?

  42. Juice Box says:

    Even Star Trek did not put the AI on a tricorder.

    I am Landu you have intruded. Pull out it’s plug Mr. Spock!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=51Hwf5uK37I

  43. Juice Box says:

    For TESLA quarter mile comparison vs Fast and the Furious.

    In the Fast and the Furious, the RX-7 ran a quarter mile in 14.6 seconds.
    Brian’s Eclipse could run a quarter mile in 16 seconds.
    Vince’s Maximo could run a quarter mile in 14.5 seconds.

    Dom’s 1970 Dodge Charger R/T quarter mile2000 could run a quarter mile in 9 second..

    Seriously don’t let your kids drive a Tesla or other electric unless you can lock it with “Chill Mode” which is a slower gradual increase in speed that is limited to a top speed of 85mph and acceleration goes from 0-60 mph of 3.1 seconds to 7 seconds. This is still faster than most cars on the road.

  44. RentL0rd says:

    If you pull into a high school you will be surprised to see the number of Teslas with a “Be patient. Driver in training” sticker.

    What used to be a hand me down Honda is now a brand new Tesla.

    BMW had the crown for most overrated signal light department before Tesla took over.

  45. RentL0rd says:

    I don’t and will not own a tesla, so have a real question. Is there really no mechanical way signal left or right?

  46. LAX says:

    Tesla’s were always ugly pieces of shit.

  47. Juice Box says:

    My son wants a Talaria which is a 50 mph dirt bike, a cheap motocross a bit better than Temu quality and it’s $4,000….. They are not street legal yet I see kids riding them everywhere. They are not electric bikes.. Those legal electric bikes with Pedal and a chain and sprocket are limited to a 750 watt motor and 20 mph top speed and are legal in NJ. The Talaria dirt bike has a 2000 watt motor and takes off like a bat out of hell.

    I have been saying NO for months now. My wife caved and ordered a cheaper version another Alibaba knockoff. I made her cancel the order.

    My son will be asking me every day until he gets his driver’s permit in a year from now.
    I remember being his age, some kids got one of those 50 cc dirt bikes. Every single one of them crashed and broke an arm or worse back then.

  48. Very Stable Genius says:

    “Oil and gas companies in the United States are bracing for the possibility that President Trump will thrust their businesses into disarray and will drive up prices at the pump by imposing 25 percent tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico.

    The United States is the world’s largest oil producer, but the country’s refineries are designed to turn a mix of different types of oil into fuels like gasoline and diesel. Roughly 60 percent of the oil that the United States imports comes from Canada, and about 7 percent comes from Mexico. Many refineries are set up to use those imports and cannot easily switch to oil from other places.”

  49. RentL0rd says:

    Crashing a bike is the right of passage for learning a bike. I did too. Luckily Insurance wasn’t a thing growing up. And you could sort things out (if you live) with the other guy.

  50. Juice Box says:

    re: “cannot easily switch to oil from other places” Nah we had lots of refineries and they were all closed……

    Phillips 66 in L.A. is to be closed this year…to many ugly flames coming out of it, and it smells.. Cali only has 31 million gasoline powered cars… Everyone should go electric instead and put solar on their roofs to charge their cars!! Go Green everyone!! Save the planet….

  51. Juice Box says:

    Chi – I will only go there if the sell $20 hamburgers and $17 tequilla drinks to wash down the bill.

    https://www.mabelatbell.com/

  52. BRT says:

    Solar takes time to payoff, will it pay off before the house burns from a wildfire. That’s the gamble.

  53. BRT says:

    Kids, 19 and under have no business having access to that acceleration. I did, and it was a dumb mistake my father made. I won’t do the same with my kid.

    Some kid crashed into my father going 100 mph about 25 years ago. Father was in an F-150, saved his life. Kid died on impact. When we went to the lot to fill out some paperwork for the mangled truck, we saw all the most recent wrecks. The guy at the lot said every single one was a kid 17 or 18. Trust me, I watch them all drive out of the lot on a daily basis. They all drive like lunatics (and that’s on the 25 mph road). Just imagine what they are doing on the highways.

  54. Very Stable Genius says:

    where the price of eggs at?

  55. BRT says:

    where the price of eggs at?

    those darn price gougers

  56. LAX says:

    11:41 My power bill was $6 last month. I’ve got 23 solar panels on my roof. Were there when we moved in.

  57. Fast Eddie says:

    Wow, this White House Press Secretary is cute! I didn’t realize she was so pretty… definitely easy on the eyes.

  58. LAX says:

    I pulled up next to a Tesla Plaid once. 1000 Horsepower. Cannot imagine.

    Neighbor just got a Lightning F150 and took me for a ride. It was quiet and fast. Build quality seems pretty nice. Plus, if there is ever a power outage here, he can flip the switch on his charger and it’ll power his house.

  59. LAX says:

    1:19 Yep. Another Alabama Chi O clone with a cross around her neck.

  60. Juice Box says:

    How did I miss the drone news? They were real after all? Top Secret Done program?

    “Criticism is escalating over what the Federal Aviation Administration knew all along about those mysterious drones that triggered high anxiety in communities across New Jersey in November and December.

    Monmouth County Sheriff Shaun Golden expressed disappointment after the White House revealed on Tuesday, Jan. 28 that many of the drones flown in large numbers over the state were authorized by the FAA.

    The White House claimed they were for research and various other reasons.

    “They should have told the American people,” Sheriff Golden said. “It’s not fair. And certainly they could have quelled it. Somebody from the FAA certainly had to see all the national reporting that was going on, and could have made the phone call. They didn’t.”

    According to Golden, this lack of communication meant that numerous law enforcement agencies were kept in the dark about the drones and an unnecessary deployment of resources.

    The Ocean County Sheriff’s department launched its own drone surveillance.

    The National Aerospace Research and Technology Park is situated next to the FAA’s Tech Center in Egg Harbor Township.

    The president of the park said he can’t speak specifically to the recent drone activity but says current research at the park involves new approaches to how radar is used.

    “The next phase of aviation will involve a degree of autonomous flight,” NARTP president Howard Kyle said. “Radar provides the sort of coverage you need to direct aircraft that might be flying autonomously.”

    https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/new-jersey-drones-faa-answers/4092737/

  61. Grim says:

    I thought Sur-Ron was the hot ticket in electric motocross bikes. Those things are insane, 2000, 3000, 4000 watt motors.

    They are faster than the fastest gas dirt bikes ever were. Absolutely not toys.

    Check out the Ultra Bee.

    I want one, and am afraid to buy it.

  62. Juice Box says:

    My kid started harping on Sur-Ron but switched to Talaria because well some of his friends got one, they cost less and are easier to get. Sur-Ron are sold mainly motorcycle dealerships, and Talaria are online and they have cheaper models.

  63. Juice Box says:

    Grim – Not street legal. Where would you ride it?

  64. RentL0rd says:

    The efficiency of Trump 2.0 at destructing America is breath-taking.
    Tariffs go into effect tomorrow.

  65. RentL0rd says:

    >> A U.S. military official told NPR on Friday that at the request of the family the Army is not going to release the name of the female member of the three-person helicopter crew. The official was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter.

    So, it was a love jaunt in the air that went awry?

  66. 3b says:

    83 and sunny in Orlando; just the way 3b likes it

  67. Fast Eddie says:

    Jim Acosta out… now Chuck Todd. The USS Liberal is taking on water and the rats are jumping ship. Not only is Trump transforming a nation, he’s transforming the world. Hey Obammy, this is what real transformation looks like.

  68. Fast Eddie says:

    3b,

    39 degrees and raining in the People’s Republic of Northern NJ. Enjoy your stay in Florida.

  69. LAX says:

    4:26 Gary, the replacement of a News anchor is hardly transformational.

  70. LAX says:

    But the wholesale gutting of the FAA followed by the worst air American disaster in recent history, now that’s Trump in action! Look for more of these disasters as bad luck schlep rock continues his reign of stupidity and greed. How bout the cost of those eggs??

  71. RentL0rd says:

    Why is China getting a 10% tariff while our friends north and south are penalized by 25%

    Although, it affects average joe more than the average Canuck or José

  72. hughesrep says:

    I’m blaming the DEI virus that Obama programmed into Hunter Biden’s laptop.

  73. 3b says:

    Fast: Thanks. Nice to have sun and warm in January. Off on a cruise tomorrow to the Caribbean.

  74. LAX says:

    I don’t know about you guys, but I am feeling “sell” signs in the market prior to Trump’s Tariffs kicking in.

  75. Juice Box says:

    Yup $500 million for Temu Chatbot….

  76. Juice Box says:

    LAX – You might get a premium for your home. You said you are next to a farm?

  77. Grim says:

    TLDR – maybe $1.6 billion in capex

  78. Grim says:

    Mistral released a kick ass small model today.

    Nobody cared.

  79. RentL0rd says:

    I haven’t tried Mistral yet. But Qwen is multi modal and so much better than chatgpt 4-o. Cancelled my subscription

  80. njtownhomer says:

    donJr. eric. ivanka.
    true DEI

  81. Grim says:

    Qwen is solid. One of the best open models.

  82. Grim says:

    Not temu, but totally Ali baba

  83. RentL0rd says:

    Planes literally falling off the sky. WTH maga!

  84. Juice Box says:

    So Trump is firing FBI agents who worked on Jan 6th? I am assuming he thinks they were under cover who potentially acted as agent provocateurs. It was reported just last month by the now fired inspector general that there were no FBI in the crowd only 26 informants.

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/12/politics/justice-inspector-general-january-6-fbi-report/index.html

    I am wondering however if there was a coverup. That in addition to the various criminal acts performed by 1600 protestors already charged and over 1000 convicted could also bring criminal charges if Kash Patel gets confirmed.

  85. Juice Box says:

    A pilot on the news said stall during takeoff. Mechanical failure or perhaps a load shift in the plane during takeoff.

  86. RentL0rd says:

    Trump is failing to protect our skies.

    And, the biggest theft of our govt has begun

    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/musk-aides-lock-government-workers-out-computer-systems-us-agency-sources-say-2025-01-31/

    Maggots everywhere

  87. Juice Box says:

    LAX – put down the bong. There was no wholesale gutting of the FAA.

    https://wlos.com/news/nation-world/no-evidence-trump-fired-thousands-of-air-traffic-controllers-despite-social-media-claims-american-airlines-flight-5342-black-hawk-dc-plane-crash-faa-federal-hiring-freeze

    If anything the current shortages of controllers started under previous administrations going back several presidents. The most recent shortage can actually be blamed on Covid.

    The question should be what is Trump going to do this year to fill perhaps thousands of empty controller positions. The wash out rate for the job is like 50% during the five months of intensive training. They need to get perhaps as many as 5000 people into training programs now or the shortage will only get worse.

    FAA Academy training takes up to five months, you have to move Oklahoma!
    It can take two to four years of on-the-job training to become fully certified.

  88. RentL0rd says:

    There is no American resistance to this madness.

    From social media:

    National Park Service

    Elon Musk staff has been caught plugging in hard drives inside the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the Treasury Department, and the General Services Administration (GSA). His staff encountered resistance when demanding that Treasury officials grant access to systems managing the flow of more than $6 trillion annually to programs like Social Security and Medicare. Tensions escalated when Musk’s aides were discovered at OPM accessing systems, including a vast database known as the Enterprise Human Resources Integration (EHRI), which contains sensitive information such as dates of birth, Social Security numbers, performance appraisals, home addresses, pay grades, and length of service for government employees. In response to employees speaking out, Musk’s aides locked civil servants out of computer systems and offices, with reports of personal items being searched.

  89. RentL0rd says:

    Juice, STFU.

    I din’t know what your angle is, but stop making excuses to the madness. Trying to spin this is pathetic.

  90. RentL0rd says:

    WLOS is a station owned by Sinclair. Thats been caught in the past to take Russian money to take over our skies.

    So that proves you are grasping for straws in protecting your cult leader.

    You lost credibility Juice. Go on to truth social.

  91. Juice Box says:

    Rentlord – musk plugged Grok AI into the OPMs computers which is basically the Federal Version of HRIS or Workday.They probably have some system written in COBOL running on an IBM 390 mainframe.. GROK AI is building a model based upon personnel performance KPIs and GROK will pick and choose who gets fired. A FAX will be sent to Western Union who will then print and hand deliver the pink slip printed in triplicate on an OKI 9 pin dot matrix printer.

  92. Juice Box says:

    “what your angle is“

    Quite simple really. I cast my line at an angle maximizing my chances of getting a bite. Have been doing it quite a long time too, back to when you had to FTP or Tenet into a BBS to send or get a message.

  93. Juice Box says:

    Rentlord – re: “ You lost credibility Juice. Go on to truth social.”

    I still have her bumper sticker. “White Dudes for Harris” . It is a magnetic one too. I am thinking of getting the new one “Don’t blame me I voted for Harris” I don’t think however the timing is right yet to parade that sticker around the supermarket parking lots.

    As far as truth social. I don”t post on mainstream social media like Facebook or Twitter.I have never been on Truth Social, no appeal to take a visit to crazy town really. I do read however what is posted on Twitter and Facebook, as part of my daily ingestion of photons while burning fossil fuels to boil water to make electrons for my cpu and gpu to create those photons. It really is peak civilization, how they got by a 100 years ago with just radio and telephone I will never know.

  94. LAX says:

    Eat a dick juiiiiice box.

  95. RentL0rd says:

    I have a guy like you in one of my whatsapp groups. All he does is provoke everyone. Has no real north. A piece of scum. A parasite to society.

    At least, SmallGov and Fast Eddie have a spine, as misguided as they are.

  96. Juice Box says:

    Rent – re: “I have a guy like you”

    Your Dollar Store whatsapp buddy would not last a minute in the ring with me. I feed on photons it only makes me stronger like Superman.

    Bring it I say…..

  97. LAX says:

    The spine you are referring to isn’t attached to a functioning brain, unfortunately.

  98. JUice Box says:

    Did they use high explosives? Are we now going to have a shortage of almonds, grapes for my favorite Coombsville Cabernet Sauvignon? Gasp pistachios will be $1oo dollars a pound! Protest Protest Protest!!!

    “On January 31, 2025, under orders from President Donald Trump, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers significantly increased water release from two dams in California’s Central Valley. This action has led to mixed reactions; while some celebrate the increase in water flow, others, including local farmers and state officials, criticize the move for its timing and potential negative impacts. The flow, which started at 1.6 billion gallons and is expected to reach 5.2 billion in three days, has raised concerns about federal overreach and the lack of state consultation in the decision-making process.”

  99. LAX says:

    9:18 the “ring” around your four day old underwear?
    Or the one around your 3 inch dick??

  100. hughesrep says:

    Bit I read about the water said it was just going to flow downstream to nowhere. Farmer fields don’t need it right now, they are dormant. It’s usually kept in place until they need it for irrigation later in the year.

    Water will either end up in the ocean or maybe get a new temporary lake out of it in the desert.

    Typical, all about the show.

  101. White Trash Eddie says:

    Pete Buttagag has removed the pronouns from his signature. What new identity, fad, gimmick, craze, flavor and trend will the muppets come up with next?

  102. Jim says:

    RentL0rd says:
    February 1, 2025 at 9:09 am
    I have a guy like you in one of my whatsapp groups. All he does is provoke everyone. Has no real worth. A piece of scum. A parasite to society.

    Ironically we have the same thing here in our blog, diehard Democrats that thought Joe Biden could do no wrong. Hint they gave Trump space in their heads, and they have taken over the blog , yet their oblivious to themselves. They need to get a life and control their absolute anger. The blueberries will still get picked, but the terrorists will be deported. The absolute irony is Rant Lord does what he complains about constantly.

  103. Juice Box says:

    re: “Typical, all about the show”

    Nope it’s all about payback akin to salting the earth…

    This irrigation water is stored for the San Juaquin valley, there is no irrigation needs in the winter only the dry summer months.

    Per Gemeni.. I wonder who these folks supported for President?

    Some of the largest landowners in the San Joaquin Valley include J.G. Boswell Co., Sandridge Partners, and Stewart Resnick.

    J.G. Boswell Co.

    Owns over 200,000 acres in the San Joaquin Valley
    A major cotton farmer, and also grew wheat, safflower, and alfalfa owned land in the dry basin of Tulare Lake.

    Sandridge Partners
    Owned over 100,000 acres of farmland in the San Joaquin Valley
    Controlled by Silicon Valley developer John Vidovich. Vidovich grows crops on some of the land and processes almonds at a plant in Wasco.

    Stewart Resnick
    One of the largest farmers in the United States

    A global tree nut magnate, along with his wife Lynda
    Resnick and his wife have been involved in questionable business deals to acquire freshwater access and rights

  104. Juice Box says:

    You can bet your bottom dollar Jimmy Kimmel won’t even say he was wrong with his diatribe the other day, and the ongoing twitter and late night talk show nonsense he has been going on an on making fun of Trump etc. The Army was indeed on the ground in California as Trump says they were in his tweet this week.

    Kimmel on Tuesday…

    “Then, the late night host issued a series of fact checks to Trump’s claims.

    “The military did not enter California. We don’t have a water shortage. The pumps they turned on don’t even connect to the LA water system,” he said.

    Yet White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt insisted the military, mentioning specifically the Army Corps of Engineers, was “on the ground in California” and dealing with the situation, and gave Trump the credit.

    ““Whether or not the U.S. military entered California and turned the water on is not a matter of debate,” Kimmel said. “This is not liberal vs. conservative. It didn’t happen, OK? But no one calls him on it.”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgxMqeW0TI

    Don’t poke the bear….

  105. White Trash Eddie says:

    Did y’all dem supporters get your standard issue uniforms? If not, go to your nearest Project 2025 processing center for more information. Make sure y’all present your state-issued ID card. For those of y’all who received your uniform, make sure you’re displaying your ID tag to be easily identified if y’all are stopped by the TEA (Trump Enforcement Agency).

  106. hughesrep says:

    Juice

    Hanlon’s Razor.

  107. RentL0rd says:

    Jim, I know truth is inconvenient to you and Fast Eddie. It is right in your face and you refuse to see it.

    The “angry” people are more in number in this country than not. You just got duped and refuse to acknowledge it.

    But yes Joe Biden is bad and so we need to burn the country down.

  108. chicagofinance says:

    Speaking of razors…… it appears that the Army is withholding the identity of the third Army officer in the helicopter because she stopped using one (complete rumor that is unconfirmed)….. it might be even worse if she was piloting at the time….. I hope Trump’s offputing and tone deaf comments about the crash were just his reflexes, and that he wasn’t implicitly referring to the facts of the event.

    hughesrep says:
    February 1, 2025 at 11:58 am
    Juice

    Hanlon’s Razor.

  109. LAX says:

    It’s simple ideology. The GOP has always dreamed of “shrinking government down and drowning it in a bath tub”. Gingrich, et al

  110. Very Stable Genius says:

    This weekend, Trump’s 25% tax increase will kick in on every American.

    He’s doing this by implementing import taxes on America’s biggest allies and trading partners.

    Here’s a list of common food items that you can expect to increase in price:

    From Mexico:
    🥑 Avocados (+25%)
    🍅 Tomatoes (+25%)
    🌶️ Bell peppers (+25%)
    🥒 Cucumbers (+25%)
    🍓 Strawberries (+25%)
    🍋 Limes (+25%)
    🥭 Mangoes (+25%)
    🫐 Blueberries (+25%)
    🍌 Bananas (+25%)
    🍇 Grapes (+25%)
    🌽 Corn (+25%)
    🫘 Beans (+25%)
    🥩 Beef (+25%)
    🐖 Pork (+25%)
    🍤 Shrimp (+25%)
    🧀 Cheese (+25%)
    🍦 Ice cream (+25%)
    🍿 Snack foods (+25%)
    🍹 Tequila & mezcal (+25%)
    🍺 Beer (+25%)

    From Canada:
    🥚 Eggs (+25%)
    🥩 Beef (+25%)
    🐖 Pork (+25%)
    🐟 Salmon (+25%)
    🦞 Lobster (+25%)
    🧀 Cheese (+25%)
    🥛 Milk powder (+25%)
    🧈 Butter (+25%)
    🌾 Wheat (+25%)
    🌾 Oats (+25%)
    🌾 Barley (+25%)
    🌻 Canola oil (+25%)
    🍏 Apples (+25%)
    🥔 Potatoes (+25%)
    🍁 Maple syrup (+25%)
    🥃 Whiskey (+25%)
    🍺 Beer (+25%)

  111. Phoenix says:

    This weekend, Trump’s 25% tax increase will kick in on every American.

    The wealthy can afford this. When the middle class goes broke, the wealthy will sweep in and steal everything they have.

    It’s coming. Like a f’n freight train.

  112. White Trash Eddie says:

    VSG 3:21,

    Why are you so worried? The Inflation Reduction Act was passed to ease the burden on middle class families.

  113. BRT says:

    He spent 4 years pretending it didn’t exist, he now remembers when eggs were $1 a dozen and yearns for that.

  114. Phoenix says:

    Helicopters-for the bitchez in Washington that like to fly around on tax dollars. Traffic increase at Reagan- so the bitchez in Washington can have a convenient airport for their lazy azzes.

    Sorry people, you died for your masters. They don’t care that your water logged head was bobbing in the seat under the river as long as they got the convenience they wanted.

  115. SmallGovConservative says:

    So while DJT is moving at the speed of light to secure our borders, detain and deport illegal alien criminals, force federal workers to get back to work or move on, free hostages and calm the middle east, what do we have from the lost and aimless Dems? Well, we have Dem mayors and governors protecting those same illegal alien criminals by encouraging them to hide in schools and churches, and then most laughably we have that preposterous DNC chairman town hall hosted by the MSDNC fools, where each of the candidates was forced to agree that Carmella only lost because of racism and misogyny. Hard to believe there are any men left that support the Dem party and are frightened by DJT’s aggressive leadership. LACKS, Lib, Unstable, Rant — you guys got a big problem!

  116. LAX says:

    Naw, we’ll be okay. But thanks.

  117. LAX says:

    Meanwhile: Elon Musk’s Team Now Has Full Access to Treasury’s Payments System
    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave Mr. Musk’s representatives at the so-called Department of Government Efficiency a powerful tool to monitor and potentially limit government spending.

  118. Juice Box says:

    re: “Treasury’s Payments System”

    Do you really believe the richest man in the world is going to steal now?

    Let’s get this out of the way early in discussion.

  119. BRT says:

    Walgreens suspended its dividend for the first time since 1933, clearly a strong economy we have.

  120. BRT says:

    WTF does it matter? They just print it to pay whatever they want anyway. And you’ve had no problem with that the past 40 years.

  121. RentL0rd says:

    7:26, when you control the money you control the people. Get it bonehead?

    Plus, he was not elected, so he has no business with the government.

  122. RentL0rd says:

    Your EVs, your semiconductors, metals, your diamonds – they almost all come from mines in Africa. It’s only fair that America at least continue to do our part for the wellbeing of people in Africa and elsewhere and warn people of upcoming famines and other disasters.

    But no!

    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g9p7n8vl9o

  123. RentL0rd says:

    It’s hard to keep track of all the dumpster fires being started by this moron, while also making deals to enrich himself and his oligarchs.

  124. LAX says:

    Oh Look! A trade war with….Canada.

    What the ever loving fuuuck

  125. Phoenix says:

    Now is China’s time to shine. They need to provide aid, lifelines, fair trade with all of the countries that the USA is strongarming/shunning right now. They need to reach out to Canada and sign some agreements- China has pleny of consumers for their goods, and just like with Mexico they should make deals quickly to help each other.

    Leave the bully on the playground to go jerk off and blow his wad into the hole in the tree while preaching about God.

    Dear Canada and Mexico, America is not your friend. Or your’s Europe. It’s just using all of you like cheap whores and leaving it’s dirty sticky condoms all around the world.

    /commonsense.

  126. Phoenix says:

    ” The US State Department does not dispute the authenticity of the recording” That’s all you need to know.

    A voice resembling that of Victoria Nuland, the US assistant secretary of state, was heard on the recording saying “f**k the EU” in relation to the UN getting more involved in the Ukraine crisis. She appears to be referring to the EU being sidelined if the UN takes a greater role in Ukraine. The recording was published yesterday on YouTube with Russian subtitles.

    “I would say that since the video was first noted and tweeted out by the Russian government, I think it says something about Russia’s role,” Jay Carney, the White House press secretary for Obama, told reporters yesterday (6 February). A US state department spokeswoman told the media that if Russia was responsible for bugging and leaking the phone call it would be “a new low in Russian tradecraft”.

    The state department has suggested that the first person to post the audio on Twitter appears to be Dmitry Loskutov, an aide to Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin.

    The US state department does not dispute the authenticity of the recording, and Nuland has apparently apologised to her EU counterparts for her comments.

    In the phone call, Nuland and Geoffrey Pyatt, the US ambassador in Kiev, are discussing the planned government reshuffle that would see Arseniy Yatsenyuk and Vitaly Klitschko, two opposition leaders, take the roles of prime minister and deputy prime minister respectively.

    The two diplomats express reservations about Klitschko, who is best known as a world boxing champion. Nuland is heard on the recording saying that Klitschko should not be in the government.

  127. Fast Eddie says:

    I paid $6.79 for a 24 pack of eggs of Costco yesterday. Don’t know what they were a few months ago, just reporting the findings.

  128. RentL0rd says:

    Thanks for shopping at Costco – an EEO, DEI supporting company. If it wasn’t for that you wouldn’t even have eggs.

    Meanwhile, many workers just doing their job fired.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/usaid-labor-director-pushed-fighting-back-removal-career-leadership-rcna190132

    I bet there were more misled maga than non maga.

  129. Fast Eddie says:

    …an EEO, DEI supporting company

    Is this falsely true or truly false? Are they a faithfully unfaithful corporation?

  130. Phoenix says:

    RentLord

    Just take solace in knowing that Eddie is eventually going to die.

    Or anyone else you don’t like..

    Never try to teach a pig to sing, it wastes your time and it annoys the pig.

    This holds true for you Eddie as well. May the people you hate so much die as soon as possible. It might make you happy as well.

  131. Phoenix says:

    For ten dollars a month you could join Planet Fitness.

    Fast Eddie says:
    February 2, 2025 at 8:17 am
    I paid $6.79 for a 24 pack of eggs of Costco yesterday. Don’t know what they were a few months ago, just reporting the findings.

  132. Fast Eddie says:

    Beer,

    The terms EEO and DEI appear to be an epic oxymoron.

    That’s what I was aiming at.

  133. Fast Eddie says:

    May the people you hate so much die as soon as possible.

    DIE BOOMERS, DIE!!

  134. RentL0rd says:

    I don’t post from a position of anger. I’m sure Fast Eddie will realize soon enough the disaster that he and fellow maga did. I can’t say the same about SmallGov.

    Sometimes I wonder if I’m wasting time here. I know there are some bright brains here and would like to prove me wrong when I’m wrong. Some rhetoric is fun – keeps things real, but it doesn’t bother me.

    I can’t expect that from fb – where all my friends are way too left or places like Linkedin where they are all corporate schmoozers devoid of any soul.

  135. SmallGovConservative says:

    RentL0rd says:
    February 2, 2025 at 9:49 am
    “I don’t post from a position of anger.”

    You, like the other Dem stooges here, post from a position of derangement. Literally everything that DJT does or says, drives you crazy. That’s not healthy — seek help so that you can make it through the next 4 years.

    As for bright brains, that’s pretty much everyone here except those that voted for Carmella, and SlowJoe before her. Opinions from those people, given that they voted for an imbecile and a dementia patent, are worthless.

  136. Juice Box says:

    Political water wars.

    “Governor Newsom issues executive order to help California capture and store more water from upcoming severe storms”

    “Jan 31st 2025

    SACRAMENTO — In anticipation of a multi-day, significant atmospheric river in Northern California, Governor Gavin Newsom today issued an executive order that would make it easier to divert and store excess water from incoming winter storms. The Governor signed the order after he received a briefing on the latest forecast for the storm.

    The executive order also directs the Department of Water Resources and other state agencies to take action to maximize diversion of those excess flows to boost the state’s water storage in Northern California, including storage in San Luis Reservoir south of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. These actions will help California replenish above-ground and groundwater storage that remains depleted in many parts of the state following multi-year droughts.”

  137. Phoenix says:

    The problem with Trump is that he is a stoopid f’n elephant. Raw power, no brain.

    Just willing to stomp on shit others tell him to stomp on. Then laughs like a hyena.

    I agree with many of his policies. Disagree with about the same.

    It’s not what you do, but how you go about it. He is like a cop chasing someone for a stolen can of tuna fish that then runs into a schoolbus full of children, then brags about how he caught the tuna fish theif.

    Yeah, no one cares about the good you do when all you leave is carnage in your wake.

    He also knows how to make enemies out of friends. The damage he will do is going to be immense.

    Biden, and his once possible predecessor Harris, yeah, they were f’n also, and have gotten America and the world closer to nuclear war than ever.

    Democrap or Repuke, America is in deep shite. Get the code cart, slap the R2 pads on. Patient is going to code. Better to hope there is a shockable rhythm.

  138. LAX says:

    10:01 wait til they gut your Medicare old man so ICE can have an additional $1B.

    Watch as your stock portfolio plummets on Monday so Trump can have a trade war.

    I don’t care about the opinions of cult members.

  139. Phoenix says:

    Eddie,
    Start looking at the color of your ankles and lower legs. That’s where I predict for you your death is going to begin.
    Years of experience.

    We all have a finite expiration date. Oh, and there is no God.
    Now go do what you believe is your good dead for the day Scrooge and feed the children some Chex Mix.

    I also predict that tonight you are going to have a dream about those brown ankles. This one is just a guess.

    Fast Eddie says:
    February 2, 2025 at 9:49 am
    May the people you hate so much die as soon as possible.

    DIE BOOMERS, DIE!!

  140. LAX says:

    9:42 funny, I looked up two of the biggest douchebags I knew from my previous tech career. Both were dead. They never made it to 60.

  141. Juice Box says:

    Phoenix – re: WWIII……

    This from TV news in India.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RuKzFDYOftM

    “KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Saturday that excluding his country from talks between the U.S. and Russia about the war in Ukraine would be “very dangerous” and asked for more discussions between Kyiv and Washington to develop a plan for a ceasefire.

    Zelenskyy’s remarks followed comments Friday by Trump, who said American and Russian officials were “already talking” about ending the war. Trump said his administration has had “very serious” discussions with Russia, but he did not elaborate.

    “They may have their own relations, but talking about Ukraine without us — it is dangerous for everyone,” Zelenskyy said.”

  142. Phoenix says:

    LAX,

    Everything, everything in a hospital comes from China or Mexico. All of the anesthesia machines are Chinese, and sending your heart rate data to Bejing. Hehe. Like they really f’n need it. Drugs as well. IV bags, tubing, axillary rolls, abduction pillows.

    Or our “used to be” friends in Mexico who make all of your surgical packs.

    Half the staff isn’t even made in America, white and black only make up forty percent.

  143. Juice Box says:

    Speaking of Treasury and Elon Musk.

    “The Treasury secretary’s approval to access the payment data was contingent on it being essentially a read-only operation,” the person said.

    Here are the findings from them an so far. Elon’s people are busy..

    “The @DOGE team discovered, among other things, that payment approval officers at Treasury were instructed always to approve payments, even to known fraudulent or terrorist groups,” Musk wrote. “They literally never denied a payment in their entire career. Not even once.”

  144. Phoenix says:

    Trump, who said American and Russian officials were “already talking” about ending the war. Trump said his administration has had “very serious” discussions with Russia, but he did not elaborate.

    Trump isn’t ending the war, he sent over a bunch of Patriot missile batteries last week. Talks shit out of one side of the mouth, then acts all tough.

    Putin, no, he isn’t gonna stop until he is on the border of EU. Anything less would be stupid of him, and Putin isn’t dumb. He knows how America lies and breaks every treaty it makes. There comes a time where you draw a line in the sand and just say enough is enough. Putin is there.

    Oh, and if you want to see a real jornalist, instead of some 20 y/0 hot blond with bolt ons feeding you corporate news, watch this guy. Pudgy guy from America actually in the war zone-has a death wish. Well, first watch the blond and rub one off, then you will be able to concentrate on what is really important.

    https://youtu.be/8UZpuQbvzDE?t=1372

  145. Fast Eddie says:

    Phoenix,

    I’m pushing 340 lbs and I’m 5’6″. I guess I should try to exercise a bit?

  146. Juice Box says:

    Just to mention the guy running the Treasury Op for Elon is none other than the CEO of Cloud Software Group aka Tibco….

  147. SmallGovConservative says:

    LAX says:
    February 2, 2025 at 10:23 am
    “Watch as your stock portfolio plummets on Monday so Trump can have a trade war.”

    I know that you Carmella-loving dopes don’t understand, so I’ll explain it to you. DJT is leaning on our unfriendly neighbors so that they’ll tighten their borders and stop allowing criminals and drugs to enter our country. This would not be necessary if SlowJoe had secured our borders like he and border czar Carmella were supposed to have done. But as we know, they wanted to import illegals to help stabilize populations that otherwise would be cratering in our broken blue states and cities. So yeah, watch your portfolio plummet — but blame SlowJoe and the Dems.

  148. Phoenix says:

    Fast Eddie says:
    February 2, 2025 at 10:41 am
    Phoenix,

    I’m pushing 340 lbs and I’m 5’6″. I guess I should try to exercise a bit?

    No worries. Years ago you would have been dead by 50. Today your weight isn’t a problem, with Chinese made pharmaceuticals we can keep you around past 80 at 400 lbs.

  149. LAX says:

    You can misspell names and dole out stupid nicknames all you want.
    Just makes you look like a fucking idiot. There’s zero justification or logic to Trump’s action other than the fact that he’s incompetent. You are just to fucking stupid to see it.
    You insipid piece of shit.

  150. Phoenix says:

    But Eddie,
    Can’t help you with this. Be careful if you wander out into a field at night.

    https://youtu.be/Yk0uvoSWA2I?t=10

  151. MAGAWillCreate ALonelyGroupOfRedHatInTheClosetCircleJerk says:

    My bet is that they are looking at the Treasury’s bill pay operation to be able to pick and choose payments likely based on politics.

    Debt ceiling has to go up around 3/14. There is usually a big draw down on US Treasury payments around this time because of tax refunds among others until 4/15 when tax payments are received.

    The rescinded OMB memo that halted all payments for 90 days is the clue. They want to be able to delay or halt altogether payments to keep under debt ceiling as long as possible. Key question is who gets paid in time, get a delay payment or nothing at all. Expect delay or halt in a payments to anything in blue states that is science or social related.

    If you look at it carefully. It is if the Confederacy rose again, conned all the big businesses to move to red states and now are taking over the USA from inside. However, the same issues the caused the Confederacy’s failure at heart – a nasty social power structure based on authoritarianism and fear will make it fail again now.

    I agree with Phoenix, because what I’m reading in non-US financial media. Is that there is an impetus for Canada and Mexico to cancel NAFTA, do a deal among each other and then do deals with EU and MercoSur.

    The big question is if China takes advantage of the opportunity that will present itself to lead a new Bretton Woods equivalent agreement, which to do it will require them to chill on the CCP bs and behave more like they were doing before Xi Ping which means of course Taiwan is off the table, which is doubtful.

    That is why if you look at Ian Bremmer, Niall Ferguson and others. It is just massive confusion coming up the pikes. But all agree MAGA America First= America Alone.

  152. Phoenix says:

    Chinese and Russians will be happy to hear this. Now they know who to hack and place ransomware on.

    It will happen.

    And then you will get free useless credit monitoring.

    Juice Box says:
    February 2, 2025 at 10:42 am
    Just to mention the guy running the Treasury Op for Elon is none other than the CEO of Cloud Software Group aka Tibco….

  153. Fast Eddie says:

    Phoenix,

    Thank you for the heartwarming videos this morning.

    Oofa.

  154. Phoenix says:

    Eddie,
    It’s the F’n new year. Take care of yourself.

    Most people cause their own destruction. Me included.

    No one will ever look out for you more than you can look out for yourself. Unless you were born a hot chick.

    No country for old men. Truer words were never spoken.

    I can’t help you, can’t even help my own kid right now, she is in hell. F’n DYFS and police are not helping her.

    America is not a team sport, it’s a team tear down.

    I hope you can change your numbers before you have issues. And judging what I have seen in my life I am going to plan to buy a hog outfit and walk out onto a field like that hoping to go out that way compared to some of the other choices I have seen in life.

    You have no idea.

  155. LAX says:

    11:25 Repatha.

  156. Juice Box says:

    Nah there is no problem with the Treasure Dept at all.

    “The federal government reported an estimated $236 billion in “improper payments” during the most recently completed fiscal year (FY 2023). Such payments are essentially payment errors that can be the result of many things—including overpayments, inaccurate recordkeeping, or even fraud.

    Payment errors are a long-standing issue for the federal government. Over the last 20 fiscal years, it has made an estimated $2.7 trillion in such improper payments.

    What’s causing these errors and what can be done to prevent them? Today’s WatchBlog post looks at our new report, issued today.

    What were the payment errors in FY 2023?
    The $236 billion in improper payments were reported by 14 agencies across 71 programs.

    More than $175 billion (74%) of errors were overpayments—for example, payments to deceased individuals or those no longer eligible for government programs
    $11.5 billion were underpayments
    $44.6 billion were unknown payments—meaning it is unclear whether a payment was an error or not
    $4.6 billion were cases where a recipient was entitled to a payment, but the payment failed to follow proper statutes or regulations”

    Right from the Horses mouth..

    https://www.gao.gov/blog/federal-government-made-236-billion-improper-payments-last-fiscal-year

  157. LAX says:

    11:49 not to mention all of the Covid $ that went to members of congress and rich folkks

  158. Juice Box says:

    We should claw it all back.

  159. OC1 says:

    “We should claw it all back.”

    I am sure some of it is clawed back, but no idea how much.

    FWIW, (and if my math is correct) that $236 billion is about 3.5% of the federal budget.

    I wonder what the overpayment rate is for something like private insurance (property, health…)?

  160. RentL0rd says:

    Someone is angry that the educated did not vote for them, so naturally a bill to eliminate the Dept of Education!

    H.R. 899

    https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/899

    Yeaaahh.. fuccck education yeaa.

  161. RentL0rd says:

    Clawing back? What are you talking ‘bout.

    We have a sledge hammer and we will destroy it all.

    Just like in the movie Mouse Hunt. Destroy it all because we are not smart enough to do it the right way.

  162. BRT says:

    Oh no, what will I do without the DOE? How will I do my job? King Murph and the state DOE head were in my classroom. The DOE head couldn’t figure out why a balance beam worked. True story.

  163. RentL0rd says:

    So, BRT, if the head of a dept is a moron, eliminate the org?

    and by that logic, if POTUS is an idiot, destroy … ? Oh wait, that’s happening.

    Darwin is winning bigly.

  164. LAX says:

    I think the elimination of the DOE pales in comparison to what is ahead. States that want to and invest in education, will. The days of $600 a year property taxes in ol’ Kentucky are over.

  165. Hughesrep says:

    Plan is to give the education money to the religious nuts.

  166. SmallGovConservative says:

    RentL0rd says:
    February 2, 2025 at 3:12 pm
    “destroy … ? Oh wait, that’s happening.”

    LAX says:
    February 2, 2025 at 3:14 pm
    “elimination of the DOE pales in comparison to what is ahead.”

    Frightened, whiny, hysterical men; pathetic! You should both be embarrassed by your behavior.

    Oh by the way, the Dems just burned down LA!

  167. RemtL0rd says:

    I was on an nj school’s budget advisory board for a couple of years.

    Every year it is a struggle to balance the budget because –

    -gas prices dictate transportation budget that ran about $20M
    -health insurance for the teachers cost about $30M
    And everything needs to be inflation adjusted every year.

    And S9 the formula used by NJ to distribute education funds is often not enough.

    The recourse is to increase property taxes – which was initially capped at 2% increase which as you know is way below inflation.

    So they introduced an “exception” this year to say something like “if the school really really needs it”, they can tap more than the 2% from property taxes.

    So guess what will happen. Local property taxes will soar because the state cannot keep up with federal cuts.

    Buckle up people, buckle up tight.

    Kentucky stands no chance. It will create generations of uneducated poor.

    By the way, bought a dozen eggs at shoprite for $8.50 or something

  168. SmallGovConservative says:

    RemtL0rd says:
    February 2, 2025 at 3:47 pm
    “By the way, bought a dozen eggs at shoprite for $8.50 or something”

    Typical that a loudmouth leftist would overpay. You’ve been trumpeting how great pro-DEI Costco is, and despite them selling two-dozen eggs for less than $8.50, you go to Shop Rite and pay that much for one dozen. There really is no help for shrill, overly-dramatic duds like you, who would rather complain then help themselves.

  169. RentL0rd says:

    If you believe dems destroyed LA, do you also believe that Trump brought COVID into the country in 2020?

  170. RentL0rd says:

    Small man, it isn’t about me. My rants here are not about me at all.

    I am a successful business owner and have millions stashed away. For real.

    I can afford the eggs. But not the less fortunate.

  171. SmallGovConservative says:

    RentL0rd says:
    February 2, 2025 at 4:08 pm
    “I can afford the eggs. But not the less fortunate.”

    Don’t recall a peep from you about the ‘less fortunate’ when SlowJoe drove inflation to 9% in 2022 or 2023. Or when SlowJoe was importing illegal alien criminals into ‘less fortunate’ neighborhoods for that matter. But good to know that you’re concerned about them now.

  172. RentL0rd says:

    This isn’t a pissing match between Joe and Don.

    In fact, whats happening is not a partisan topic at all.

    But I don’t expect you to get it Small man.

  173. White Trash Eddie says:

    $8.50 for one dozen or $6.79 for two dozen… so… ???

  174. LAX says:

    3:42….i hear ya! Their space lasers…..

  175. Libturd says:

    How about those market futures boys. It’s not like you weren’t warned. Trump is a serial bankrupter. But he hugged the flag!!!

    You thought inflation was bad under Biden. Wait till you see what’s gonna happen in the next couple of months.

    This is what happens when the majority of your country is made up of idiots. Hope you bought your meme coins.

  176. BRT says:

    So, BRT, if the head of a dept is a moron, eliminate the org?

    and by that logic, if POTUS is an idiot, destroy … ? Oh wait, that’s happening.

    Darwin is winning bigly.

    No buddy, they should be eliminated because they have done zero to help any school, teacher, or student the past 30 years. It’s a pointless organization that is named as if it is some sort of central command center.

  177. BRT says:

    Give us a prediction on inflation Lib

  178. Libturd says:

    I can’t predict how much inflation they’ll be, but I will tell you that produce is really going to get whacked because not only are we going to have trouble finding people to pick it but the majority of farms use potash, which is only available from our friends to the north. Not to mention how much produce we import directly from Canada.

    Now I haven’t been able to figure out even why we are placing tariffs on Canada? Is there some kind of hidden agenda here because as far as I know there is almost no fentanyl coming across the northern border and certainly there isn’t an immigration problem from the north, so what gives?

  179. RentL0rd says:

    The reason Canada is getting hit by tariffs is because Russia wants to cut off America’s limbs and isolate the country. If people have not woken up, we elected a Putin stooge.

    We even had proof and people died or got fired because of it.

  180. Libturd says:

    Clear case of being duped.

    For example, he promised to lower grocery prices “immediately” and cut utility bills in half within a year of taking office. He repeatedly hammered the Biden administration as a failure because of inflation and invited the votes of Americans frustrated over a higher cost of living.

    Vice President JD Vance, in an interview on Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures,” maintained that Trump’s policies would mean “more take-home pay” for U.S. workers.

    Trump is now backing off such claims.

    “Will there be some pain? Yes, maybe (and maybe not),” Trump wrote Sunday morning on social media. “But we will make America great again, and it will all be worth the price that must be paid.”
    ————————————————

    Are we great yet Smalls, Gary?

  181. Libturd says:

    BRT,

    I would guess inflation will rise at a minimum 5 basis points. It really depends on how greedy American corporations are and I as we saw during the ZIRP/Stimulus driven inflation, they can be really greedy. Honestly, I would expect fuel and produce prices to go up at least 25%. What the rest of the economy does is hard to tell. I know a lot of companies are planning layoffs. Some have hit pretty close to home already.

    Again, Trump inherited an amazing economy. It’s incredulous how quickly he is going to destroy it for personal gain. I sometimes question if his goal in destroying equities is drive more people to his personal high risk bets, such as meme coins and significant money losing enterprises like DJT. That SPAC is such a flaming POS not even a single analyst is wasting their time following. Not a one. This is pretty incredible for something that is this heavily traded and constantly in the headlines.

  182. RentL0rd says:

    This happened quite a few times in history.

    1. Hitler (Germany, 1933) – Won an election, then turned Germany into a Nazi dictatorship almost overnight. Started WWII and caused the Holocaust.
    2. Stalin (Soviet Union, 1928) – Took power after Lenin, wiped out his rivals, and ruled with mass purges, forced labor camps, and brutal control.
    3. Mussolini (Italy, 1922) – Marched into power, banned opposition, and made Italy a fascist state. Aligned with Hitler in WWII.
    4. Mao Zedong (China, 1949) – Led a communist revolution, launched radical economic experiments, and caused famine and political purges.
    5. Saddam Hussein (Iraq, 1979) – Took over by executing rivals, ruled with fear, invaded neighbors, and used chemical weapons on his own people.
    6. Idi Amin (Uganda, 1971) – Seized power in a coup, expelled ethnic groups, killed thousands, and ran Uganda like his personal kingdom.
    7. Putin (Russia, 2000-present) – Started as an elected leader, then rewrote the rules, crushed opposition, took over the media, and expanded Russia’s military power.

  183. Fabius Maximus says:

    “Do you really believe the richest man in the world is going to steal now?”

    I will not insult him, I’ll just leave this an maybe they’ll get the point.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c6mVl6fAxLw&t=4s

  184. RentL0rd says:

    To be fair, Musk is not the richest man. They both have small d1ck energy, but Putin is by far more wealthy.

    Take screenshots of your portfolios. You may never see them that high ever again.

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