Jersey’s got the highest down payments in the nation

From New Jersey Newsroom:

N.J. tops housing market with highest average mortgage down payment

Out of all 50 states, New Jersey has the highest average down payment on real estate purchases, according to a new report published by LendingTree.com, an online resource for personal financial management.

For residential real estate transactions, New Jersey boasts an average 13.76 percent down payment, roughly 1.5 percent higher than the national average. Conversely, North Dakota has the lowest average with 11.37 percent.

Following New Jersey in the top five are Washington, D.C., New York, Hawaii and California. Rounding out the bottom with North Dakota are Wyoming, Oklahoma, Utah and Tennessee.

The study comes on the heels of a federal proposal that would require homebuyers to pay at least 20 percent of the down payment when purchasing a house. The measure was met with much controversy and public outcry earlier in 2011; its fate has yet to be determined.

“If federal regulators were to adopt the proposed 20 percent down payment requirement, a majority of borrowers wouldn’t be able to meet the standard given the findings in this report,” stated Doug Lebda, founder and CEO of LendingTree, in an official press release. “While this rule has yet to be put into effect, borrowers should be aware of the possibility and plan for future home loan needs.”

Posted in Economics, New Jersey Real Estate | 168 Comments

The land where unicorns roam

From the NY Times:

Demand for ‘Estate’-Like Condos

REAL ESTATE optimists have been picking up blips on the radar in Bergen County lately, most recently this one: 24 of 68 “attached manor” condominiums with prices starting at $1.25 million sold in a single weekend — before they went up, and before a sales office had time to open.

The preview sales event for the gated development Saddle River Grand, for which ground was broken in Saddle River in September, was held last month at a gated complex in Montvale built by the same developer, Woodmont Properties.

The Enclave at Montvale is smaller — 34 “villa estates” — but 18 months after opening, it has only three units left, said Woodmont’s president, Lewis Zlotnick.

Gabe Pasquale, a longtime marketing consultant in Bergen County as well as in Rockland County, N. Y., said there was pent-up demand for opulence — particularly among “very affluent empty nesters.”

“These are retired or semiretired captains of industry, older couples that are very ingratiated in their communities, with strong ties to Manhattan,” Mr. Pasquale said. “They do not want to leave the towns in which they already live in Bergen County, or the conveniences or the luxuries. But they do want more of a seamless lifestyle — no maintenance, no hiring groundskeepers and pool maintenance companies.”

The developments are not age-restricted, but they were specifically designed to appeal to an “affluent baby boomer niche,” Mr. Zlotnick said.

Certainly, this notion is not new in Bergen County, or the rest of northern New Jersey.

The Bellaire, a 34-unit gated town-house community, overlooking the Alpine Country Club Golf Course, went on the market five years ago with prices starting at $1.6 million and rising to $3 million. But the finished product — in all its 24-foot domed-ceiling, mahogany-paneled glory — arrived at the same time as crises began detonating on Wall Street.

Units sold very slowly, and only a handful of contracts were signed in 2009, the year of the national real estate crash. Now, two units are listed as resales, one at $1.95 million and the other at $3.398 million, according to the broker, Michele Kolsky-Assatly of Coldwell Banker.

High-end sales have been on the upswing in Bergen County in 2011.

Seven percent of total sales in Bergen involved houses sold for $1 million to $1.25 million, according to Jeffrey Otteau, the president of the Otteau Valuation Group of New Brunswick, which analyzes sales data for the industry. That is the highest percentage of sales in that category of any county, Mr. Otteau said; Morris and Hudson counties each had only 3.3 percent of total sales in that niche.

In the few towns where sales price averages about $1 million — Saddle River, for instance — values have increased by 2.5 percent this year while prices continued to decline statewide, the analyst said.

Affluent towns also have few foreclosures in process, and prices won’t be affected when the state’s big backlog of foreclosed properties eventually hits the market, Mr. Otteau noted.

Still, he suggested, a niche is just a niche: “The phenomenon of ultraluxury, 4,000-to-5,000-square-foot ‘downsizers’ selling well is particular to only a very few communities in northern New Jersey.”

Mr. Pasquale, who worked with several large development firms before starting his own consulting business, said he thought the wealthiest buyers were leading the pack on the way to overall market recovery.

“Many of these buyers are savvy entrepreneurs with strong connections to the financial markets,” he said. “I think they are leaders in buyer sentiment.”

Posted in Economics, Housing Recovery, North Jersey Real Estate | 106 Comments

Home prices to lag inflation (that means home prices are still falling)

From the WSJ:

Inflation Rate Seen Outpacing Home Prices for Years

The ailing housing market is unlikely to return to health before 2016 and is weighing on the two-year-old U.S. recovery, which finally is showing signs of picking up steam.

That’s according to economists in the latest Wall Street Journal survey, who expect home prices will begin to increase in 2012 but—by an 8-to-1 margin—don’t see prices outpacing inflation over the next three years. That means that the value of the largest investment for most consumers—their home—would fail to keep pace with increases in the cost of other items, such as food, clothing and gasoline.

The economists expect home prices as measured by the Federal Housing Finance Administration will be down 2.7% in 2011, but up slightly next year. They forecast that inflation will remain below 2.5% through at least 2014 after hitting 3.3% at the end of this year.

During previous recoveries, home values held down by recession climbed back. In the 1980s, home prices were outpacing inflation by the first full year of recovery, while in the 1990s that took three years. If the economists’ forecasts prove true, the pace of growth in home prices would still be below that of inflation after at least five years of a recovery that began in 2009.

Historically, housing has been a driver of recoveries. But the bursting of the real-estate bubble of the 2000s has turned the sector into a drag on growth. An excess supply of homes has held back construction and price declines have weighed on consumer sentiment.

“Expectations for continued home-price appreciation, built upon the experiences of the post-World War II period, set the tone for the strategy to buy a home today in anticipation of capital gains down the road. This ended with the Great Recession,” said economists at Wells Fargo.

Posted in Employment, Housing Recovery, National Real Estate | 68 Comments

Et tu Pru?

From the Star Ledger:

Prudential sells residential real estate division to Toronto-based company

Prudential Financial is ending a more than two decade foray into the residential real estate business with yesterday’s sale of its realty brokerage and relocation services unit to a Toronto-based company.

The proceeds from the sale of Prudential Real Estate and Relocation Services to Brookfield Residential Property Services, before transaction-related expenses, were approximately $110 million, according to the SEC filing. BRPS is a division of Brookfield Asset Management, and the sale marks its third since coming to the U.S. market in 2008, the company said.

“This transaction creates a global employee relocation services and real estate franchising leader,” said Graham Badun, CEO of Brookfield Residential Property Services. “We have now increased the breadth and depth of our service offering, keeping pace with the evolving needs of our clients around the world.”

The acquisition makes Brookfield the second largest global relocation services provider and third largest residential real estate brokerage in North America, Badun said. Together, the relocation services divisions of Brookfield and Prudential work with more than one-third of Fortune 100 companies, and Brookfield is now the largest provider of relocation services to government, with long term relationships with the United States and Canada.

The Prudential name will stay with the franchise for the time being, but ultimately Brookfield will develop a new branding strategy, Badun said. Employees won’t notice any changes and it will be business as usual, he added.

Posted in Economics, New Jersey Real Estate | 92 Comments

CoreLogic – Northern NJ/NY Metro home prices up 2.6% YOY in October

From CoreLogic (no link):

Home Prices Down 3.9 Percent Year-Over-Year

Home prices in the U.S. decreased 1.3 percent on a month-over-month basis, the third consecutive monthly decline. According to the CoreLogic HPI, national home prices, including distressed sales, also declined by 3.9 percent on a year-over-year basis in October 2011 compared to October 2010. This follows a decline of 3.8 percent* in September 2011 compared to September 2010. Excluding distressed sales, year-over-year prices declined by 0.5 percent in October 2011 compared to October 2010 and by 2.1* percent in September 2011 compared to September 2010. Distressed sales include short sales and real estate owned (REO) transactions.

Highlights as of October 2011

* Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest appreciation were: West Virginia (+4.8 percent), South Dakota (+3.1 percent), New York (+3.0 percent), District of Columbia (+2.4 percent) and Alaska (+2.1 percent).
* Including distressed sales, the five states with the greatest depreciation were: Nevada (-12.1 percent), Illinois (-9.4 percent), Arizona (-8.1 percent), Minnesota (-7.9 percent) and Georgia (- 7.3 percent).
* Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the highest appreciation were: South Carolina (+4.6 percent), Maine (+3.1 percent), New York (+3.1 percent), Alaska (+2.9 percent) and Kansas (+2.8 percent).
* Excluding distressed sales, the five states with the greatest depreciation were: Nevada (-8.8 percent), Arizona (-7.0 percent), Minnesota (-5.7 percent), Delaware (-3.9 percent) and Georgia (- 3.6 percent).
* Including distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the national HPI (from April 2006 to October 2011) was -32.0 percent. Excluding distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the HPI for the same period was -22.4 percent.

October 2011 12-Month HPI

MSA/% Change/% Change Excluding Distressed
Chicago-Joliet-Naperville IL -9.9% -1.3%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA -7.9% -3.9%
Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ -6.7% -6.3%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA -5.8% 0.8%
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA -5.7% -3.5%
Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX -4.0% 0.4%
Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX -0.2% 3.4%
Philadelphia PA 0.7% 1.6%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 1.3% 2.9%
New York-White Plains-Wayne, NY-NJ 2.6% 3.6%

Posted in Housing Recovery, New Jersey Real Estate | 89 Comments

US Bank vs Guillaume – Serious legal issue or nitpicking over a irrelevant detail?

From HousingWire:

New Jersey foreclosures wait in the wings as court deliberates key case

Hundreds of New Jersey foreclosure cases are waiting in the wings for the state’s Supreme Court to issue what will be a landmark decision in the Garden State.

Legal scholars suggest lenders are waiting to see what the court will do with the U.S. Bank National Association v. Guillaume case before moving forward with thousands of pending foreclosures.

The issue in the case causing lenders to pause is the question of whether a foreclosure notice is made invalid because the lender filed a notice of intent to foreclose with the servicer listed on the notice instead of the lender.

In the original complaint, the Guillaume’s argue the lender, U.S. Bank NA, violated the Fair Foreclosure Act by not including the lender’s information in a spot that ended up containing contact information for the servicer.

Linda Fisher, a professor at Seton Hall Law School who has been following the case, said the foreclosure process is “kicked off by filing the notice of intent to foreclose.” Fisher filed an friend-of-the-court brief with the New Jersey Supreme Court in support of the Gillaumes’ claim.

Fisher says the intent to foreclose form has 24 data points, including the name of the lender and contact information for the lender.

The Guillaumes, who challenged the foreclosure on several fronts, initially claimed the lender “violated the FFA because although the notice of intent to foreclose listed plaintiff as the holder of the note, it did not list plaintiff’s address, but rather, listed the address and telephone number” of the servicer.

An appellate court ruled for the lender and against the plaintiffs saying “directing the Guillaumes to contact ASC (or the servicer) fulfilled the purpose of the notice provision under the FFA — making the debtor aware of the situation, and how and who to contact to either cure the default or raise potential disputes.”

But the case now awaits the New Jersey Supreme Court decision, causing some lenders to pause before launching foreclosures.

Fisher said the initial notice of intent to foreclose claimed the servicer was the lender and the holder of the obligation. Later in the case, the issue became the fact that the lender’s name was listed but with the servicer’s address.

“The banks are contending it is OK to enter only the name of the servicer,” Fisher said. “The Guillaumes are saying the servicer is not a substitute for the lender because the statute is quite clear, and it specifically mentions inclusion of the name of the lender.”

Posted in Foreclosures, National Real Estate, New Jersey Real Estate | 79 Comments

No recession in the Hudson rental market

From the Jersey Journal:

Hudson County’s rents shoot up an average of 7.2 percent in 2011

The average asking rent for an available apartment in Hudson County has shot up 7.2 percent over the past year, with some luxury buildings seeing increases closer to 16 percent, according to a market report by the commercial real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield.

The new numbers bring much of the market back to levels last seen in 2008, says the report, which predicts new housing will be on the way to meet demand.

According to Robert Antonicello, executive director of the Jersey City Redevelopment Agency, the rental market is reacting to pent-up demand. Many would-be buyers are currently renters due to economic conditions and an under-supply of condos. Antonicello agrees that more residences will be built to meet the demand. “People originally come to Jersey City because they like the convenience of the city. They discover the city, and they love the city once they live in it,” said Antonicello.

Some Hudson renters are getting squeezed out of more popular locations such as Hoboken and the Jersey City waterfront.

“With average rental rates on the rise, most college students and recent grads are now forced into surrounding communities (in Hudson County) , while Hoboken is attracting families, athletes, and entrepreneurs,” said Kristin Ehrgott, luxury residential specialist for Prudential Castle Point Realty.

“There’s an increased demand for three-bedroom residences and single-family homes (in Hoboken). While demand is high, inventory is low, causing values to rise exponentially,” Ehrgott said.

According to the report, three-bedroom residences make up only 5.5 percent of the Hudson County market, with an average size of 1,487 square feet. The increased demand has pushed asking rents of three-bedroom units to roughly $3,848 per month, nearly $1,200 more than the rest of Northern New Jersey.

Posted in Economics, New Jersey Real Estate | 94 Comments

Farmland assessment must be fixed

The fix is simple, adjust the $500 minimum requirement (in 1964 dollars) for inflation, and ensure it adjusts for inflation every year going forward. $500 was a significant sum … in 1964 when the original law was passed. Had the original law adjusted for inflation, which it should have, the limit would be around $3,500 today. Since it didn’t, it is no longer a limit, it’s now a simple loophole. This new limit will have absolutely no impact on any real farmers.

From the Record:

‘Fake farmers’ get property tax break

Some New Jersey corporations, developers — and even a few politicians — get a tax break for growing as little as $500 worth of crops such as Christmas trees, using a law that critics say means higher property taxes for everyone else.

So-called “fake farmers” were faulted for taking advantage of a farmland tax break at a Senate Environment and Energy Committee hearing Thursday where lawmakers discussed doubling the minimum sales needed to qualify for the state’s farmland assessment.

“Time and again, we hear stories of this program being abused by owners of large, valuable residential properties to avoid paying their full property tax bill,” said Sen. Jennifer Beck, R-Monmouth.

The farmland assessment dates back to the 1960s, and was designed to help struggling farmers while also discouraging the development of open space in a state known for its high real estate prices.

But opponents now see the tax break as outdated, and something many wealthy landowners are abusing to avoid paying their full property tax bills. The average property tax bill in New Jersey averaged a record-high $7,576 last year, but bills easily top $25,000 on larger properties.

Beck is sponsoring legislation that would double to $1,000 the minimum gross sales required to qualify for the farmland assessment, which sharply reduces how much property taxes are due on the part of a property that is used for agriculture.

The bill would also compel landowners who claim their property as farmland to submit clear evidence of agricultural sales or income to the state Division of Taxation. And local tax assessors would have to receive training on farmland assessments.

Jeff Tittel, executive director of the New Jersey Sierra Club, cited an example of a 5-acre lot — the minimum allowed to qualify for the assessment — with an expensive home that uses only a fraction of the property to cultivate enough Christmas trees to qualify for the tax break.

No votes were taken on Beck’s bill Thursday, and it may not make it out of the Legislature before the current lame duck session ends early next year. But Beck, who’s been pressing the issue since she took office in 2008, pledged to keep pushing.

“It is time to close this ‘fake farmer’ loophole and ensure that only true farmers who produce substantial agricultural output be eligible for the program,” she said.

Posted in New Jersey Real Estate, Politics, Property Taxes | 203 Comments

Strong showing for October pending sales

From HousingWire:

NAR pending home sales surge in October

Pending home sales soared more than 10% in October and remain above year-ago levels, in a hopeful sign for the nation’s housing market, according to the National Association of Realtors.

NAR’s pending home sales index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, surged 10.4% to 93.3 in October from 84.5 in September. The index is 9.2% above October 2010 when it stood at 85.5.

The index is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos and co-ops. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2001, the first of five consecutive record years for existing-home sales and coincides with a level that is historically healthy.

The PHSI in the Northeast rose 17.7% to 71.3 in October, 3.4% above October 2010. In the Midwest, the index jumped 24.1% to 88.7 in October and remains 13.2% above a year ago.

The South saw a smaller gain, 8.6% in October, to an index of 99.5 — 9.7% higher than October 2010.

Only the West saw slippage, but remains above 100. There, the index slipped 0.3% to 105.5 in October but is 8.1% above a year ago.

From the Otteau Group:

Home Sales Continue to Show Signs of a Bottom

New Jersey home sales in October recorded a 4.9% year-on-year increase as the housing market continues to show signs of stabilization. Home sales have now increased in 5 of the last 6 months, recording an average monthly increase of 5.5% over that period, as home buyers take advantage of both lower home prices and mortgage interest rates. That rate of rise will accelerate once job creation becomes more consistent.

Posted in Housing Recovery, New Jersey Real Estate | 98 Comments

“People need to feel like they’re getting a great deal.”

From the WSJ:

Home Prices Edge Downward

Home prices declined in September and are poised for a grim winter as banks step up their efforts to take back and sell foreclosed properties.

Prices fell 0.6% from August, according to the widely watched Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index of 20 major metropolitan areas, breaking a five-month run of increases during the spring and summer, when higher sales volumes typically firm up prices.

For the third quarter, prices were down 3.9% nationwide compared with a year earlier, a slight improvement from the 5.8% annual decline recorded at the end of June, according to the Case-Shiller National Index.

Prices remain under pressure as the housing market continues to digest high volumes of foreclosed and other “distressed” properties that tend to sell at a discount. Though sales picked up at the end of the summer, analysts said buyers were only closing deals they perceive as a bargain, which could help explain why prices are sliding again.

“Buyers don’t want to tell their friends ‘I bought a home.’ People look at you sideways. But if it’s a foreclosure, they pat you on the back,” said John Burns, president of a home-building consulting firm in Irvine, Calif. “People need to feel like they’re getting a great deal.”

Posted in Economics, Housing Bubble, Housing Recovery, National Real Estate | 88 Comments

Foreclosures? Not in NYC.

From HousingWire:

NYC foreclosures drop 32%

New York City foreclosure filings dropped 32% in the third quarter over last year.

Lenders filed 3,168 foreclosures on single-family and multifamily properties during the quarter, according to a study from New York University Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy. The notices, the first stage in the foreclosure process, also dropped 5.4% from the previous three months and were down more than 46% from the peak in 2009.

Roughly 73% of all filings occurred in either Brooklyn or Queens. Over the last two quarters, notices have been more evenly split between homeowners and landlords.

“Given persistent unemployment and delinquency rates nationally, it remains unclear whether the past four quarters of reductions in foreclosure notices is the result of the slow pace of foreclosure proceedings, or a promising sign that more homeowners are now able to meet their mortgage obligations,” said Vicki Been, faculty director of the Furman Center.

Court rule changes and a massive backlog pushed the average completion time to beyond 900 days, the longest in the nation, according to RealtyTrac, which monitors filings across the country.

Meanwhile, the 5,615 property sales in third quarter dropped 3.6% from last year. Home values declined in every borough but Manhattan.

“Sales volume continued to lag in the third quarter of 2011, showing little change since last quarter and remaining well below the sales volumes we’ve seen in the city in the past decade,” said Ingrid Gould Ellen, faculty co-director of the Furman Center.

In New York City, values are down more than 20% from the peak, which crested sporadically across all major boroughs just before the financial crisis struck in 2007.

Posted in Foreclosures, National Real Estate | 151 Comments

FHA: Nothing to see here, move along

From the WSJ:

What Housing Risk?

Before the 2007 housing bust, financial analysts who raised questions about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s shaky finances were dismissed as cranks. So it’s worrying to see a thoughtful critique of another taxpayer-backed monolith—the Federal Housing Administration—receive a similar brush-off.

The flap centers around an American Enterprise Institute paper “Is FHA the Next Housing Bubble?” by Wharton real-estate finance professor Joseph Gyourko earlier this month. Mr. Gyourko notes that while the FHA’s loan exposure has grown to more than $1 trillion this fiscal year from $305 billion at the end of 2007, the agency hasn’t “increased its capital reserves commensurately.” Sure enough, the Department of Housing and Urban Development recently reported that the FHA’s capital reserves are 0.24%, a far cry from the 2% statutory minimum.

If the FHA were a private entity, these revelations would alarm investors exposed to the risk and force management to adjust. But the FHA is a bureaucracy, so its instinct is the opposite. In a blog post titled “The Continued Strength of the FHA,” Assistant Secretary for Research and Policy Development Raphael Bostic dismisses Mr. Gyouko’s “outrageous claims” and says the FHA’s books are “sound.” His arguments are worth mulling for what they reveal about what passes for FHA thinking.

Mr. Bostic focuses on the FHA’s expansion and recent reforms. Although the agency expects “record” payouts next year as borrowers default, it forecasts $9 billion of new business over the same period. FHA credit scores have improved markedly: At the end of 2007, 47% of borrowers had a credit score of less than 620, but today that figure is 3.5% and the average credit score tops 700. The Obama Administration has increased FHA premiums three times, made “reforms to credit policy, risk management, lender enforcement, and consumer protections,” and “total liquid assets are at their highest point ever,” Mr. Bostic notes.

In other words, the FHA wants to grow its way out of its problems by shedding subprime borrowers and expanding into prime loans, an area historically served by private insurers. Mr. Bostic makes this argument explicit, arguing that the FHA’s market dominance—the agency now backs nearly one-third of all new single-family mortgages—is “essential” to a housing-market recovery, adding: “Providing access to credit for homebuyers of all income ranges and in all communities, and stabilizing our housing market, has been FHA’s mission for nearly eight decades.”

And here we thought its mission was to make housing affordable for lower-income earners. But if the FHA now wants to dominate America’s housing market with taxpayer monies, that’s even more reason to examine the risks, not ignore them.

Posted in Economics, Housing Bubble, National Real Estate, Risky Lending | 121 Comments

No quick rebound for housing

From CNBC:

Housing Prices Won’t Recover Until 2013: Economists

U.S. home prices will stagnate through next year and only start recovering in 2013, according to economists polled by Reuters who also felt the stimulus options being floated will not do much to reinvigorate the market.

The housing market, considered by many as critical to any meaningful economic recovery, is still struggling to find its footing after collapsing by a third over the past several years, leaving many owing more than their homes are worth.

The poll of 27 analysts taken Nov. 17-22 was more downbeat than a survey taken two months ago, which predicted small home prices rises next year of less than 1 percent on average.

With an excess of unsold homes holding prices down and more foreclosures expected, lawmakers and experts have floated various options for propping up the market until the economy improves and Americans start buying homes again.

But most of the economists polled were sharply critical of two of the main proposals: more purchases of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a reduction in loan principal for struggling homeowners.

As well, 19 out of 26 who replied said prices could eventually recover without a major program to write down principal payments.

Opponents of such a scheme argue it would come with a hefty price tag, and such a measure would likely be politically sensitive heading into an election year.

Advocates say it’s the only way to head off another wave of foreclosures by keeping underwater borrowers in their homes and will speed up the recovery. Seven economists said house prices would not recover without a writedown plan.
“We see little prospect that any policy action will meaningfully impact the housing outlook over the next year,” said Sam Bullard, senior economist at Wells Fargo.

“Unfortunately, a sustained improvement in housing will not likely get underway until the mountain of foreclosures is cleared and the price discovery process plays out.”

Home prices as measured by the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index are expected to finish out this year down 3.3 percent compared with the 3.8 percent decline forecast in the September’s poll.

But prices are seen slipping 0.3 percent next year compared to September’s forecast for a 0.8 percent gain. Prices are expected to rise a meagre 1.5 percent in 2013.

Eighteen economists said they see prices bottoming in 2012, with 12 of those expecting it will happen in the first half of the year. Just one economist each said a bottom won’t be found until 2013 and 2014, while 7 said it has already happened.

Posted in Economics, Employment, Foreclosures, Housing Recovery, National Real Estate | 23 Comments

Town Mergers – Elegant solution or are we the suckers?

From the APP:

Gov: Mergers can help towns save tax dollars

Gov. Chris Christie threw state support behind the successful effort to consolidate the Princetons into one town, but said he is not sure how many more town mergers are in the forecast.

“This has been an effort in the works since 1953,” Christie said of the merger of Princeton Township and Princeton Borough, which is expected to be complete within a year and will reduce the number of New Jersey municipalities to 565.

“In New Jersey, as you know, it’s slow and steady. We eventually got there,” he said.

Christie held a town hall meeting Tuesday at the Princeton Public Library, here in the borough, taking a victory lap two weeks after residents of the two towns approved a merger referendum.

A study commission said combining the governments would save more than $3.2 million mostly through elimination of redundant administration and services. Christie sweetened the pot with a proposal for the state to pay for first-year consolidation costs and allowing towns to spread other transition costs over five years.

There had been three failed previous efforts to consolidate the Princetons, most recently in 1996.

Christie, accompanied by Princeton Township Mayor Chad Goerner and Princeton Borough Council President Kevin Wilkes, told an audience of 150 people that merging towns is one way to achieve local government savings and “challenge the status quo.’’

But consolidation is not for everybody, Christie said, and added that it can be encouraged by the state, but should not be mandated.

“I think locally driven discussions are the only way to do it,” he said. “It’s a contentious and emotional issue for some and also a complicated one.”

Currently, there is little other formal movement toward connecting towns aside from proposed unions of tiny Merchantville and larger Cherry Hill, and of Scotch Plains and Fanwood.

Posted in Economics, New Jersey Real Estate, Property Taxes | 156 Comments

October Home Sales Surprise (only slightly)

From the WSJ Developments Blog:

Behind the Numbers: Thankful for Existing-Home Sales

Here’s a reason for America’s real-estate agents to start celebrating Thanksgiving a few days early: Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. — the biggest part of the market — unexpectedly climbed in October.

As we report, existing-home sales ticked up 1.4% from a month earlier, the National Association of Realtors trade group reports. Sales rose in the West, South and Midwest, but fell in the Northeast, which may have been slowed by an early-season snowstorm.

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires had expected home sales to fall by 2.2%.

While beating expectations is a good thing — and the hard-hit housing market could be near a bottom — demand remains weak because of the limping economy, elevated unemployment and tight lending standards that are preventing many would-be buyers from securing mortgage funding.

Plenty of consumers are also afraid that home prices, down 30% or more from the peak, aren’t done falling. And it doesn’t look like they are: October’s median sales price was $162,500, down 4.7% from $170,600 a year earlier.

Paul Diggle, economist, Capital Economics: “The modest rise in existing home sales in October may reflect the recent improvements in economic activity and the labor market. But a sustained and significant recovery in home sales is just not on the cards when large numbers of potential buyers are constrained by negative equity and tight credit conditions.”

Joshua Shapiro, economist, MFR: “Inventories are high relative to sales rates, and would be even more so if all those wishing to sell their home actually had the house on the market instead of keeping it off in the face of eroding prices.”

Ellen Zentner, economist, Nomura: “Despite more job gains this year, affordability remaining near record highs, and rising rents generally steering renters to buying, home sales have been unable to break out of a narrow range. Programs such as bulk sales to investors and speeding the process of foreclosure would go far in dispensing of the incredible overhang of REO properties.”

From Bloomberg:

Sales of Existing U.S. Homes Unexpectedly Increase

Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. unexpectedly rose in October, a sign falling prices may be attracting buyers.

Purchases increased 1.4 percent to a 4.97 million annual rate, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. The median forecast of 75 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 4.8 million rate. The median house price dropped 4.7 percent from a year earlier, and the number of properties for sale was the lowest for any October since 2005.

Borrowing costs near a record low are helping homebuyers take advantage of housing that’s growing more affordable as prices drop. At the same time, the end of a temporary halt on foreclosures may push more properties onto the market, triggering further slides in value that may prevent the industry from recovering for years.

“The housing market is stabilizing, but it has a long road to a full recovery,” said Sal Guatieri, a senior U.S. economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. “There are still a lot of depressed properties in the pipeline that will hit the market, and demand likely needs to strengthen above a 5 million annual rate to absorb the overhang of unsold homes and alleviate the downward pressure on prices.”

Posted in Employment, Housing Recovery, National Real Estate | 117 Comments