Author Archives: grim

NJ real estate will do great … as long as rates drop

From NJ Spotlight News: NJ home sales poised for a 2024 comeback? In the first days of the new year, New Jersey analysts predicted that New Jersey’s beleaguered housing market is poised to make a comeback in 2024 if interest … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Housing Bubble, Mortgages, New Jersey Real Estate | 110 Comments

Seems like a long shot

From NJ1015: NJ one of 3 states expected to see housing market crash in 2024 It looks like New Jersey’s housing market may soon run out of steam. And that’s unfortunate for so many living in The Garden State. According … Continue reading

Posted in Crisis, Demographics, Economics, Housing Bubble, New Jersey Real Estate | 195 Comments

Predictions 2024!

Break out your crystal ball and let’s hear ’em! Recession / Economic Real Estate Stocks/Securities Commodities Inflation Mortgage Rates Geopolitics Whatever

Posted in General | 140 Comments

What’s next year got in store?

From Bankrate: 2024 first-quarter housing trends: Rates begin to thaw “We typically see housing inventory remaining low until February and then ramping up from March onward,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors. “Homebuying and open … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Housing Bubble, Housing Recovery, Mortgages, National Real Estate, Where's the Beef? | 40 Comments

NJ Gets Coal for Christmas

From NJBIZ: NJ unemployment rate ticks up in November jobs report  Just before the holiday, the New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development released the state’s November jobs report, which showed an increase of 4,100 jobs (3,100 in the private … Continue reading

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Employment, New Jersey Real Estate | 120 Comments

Home prices rise at the fastest rate of the year

From CNN: US home prices hit another record high in October, rising for the ninth straight month US home prices continued to rise in October, hitting a new record high and marking the ninth-consecutive month of increases, according to data … Continue reading

Posted in Housing Bubble, National Real Estate | 89 Comments

Out of reach … forever?

From NPR: Most homes for sale in 2023 were not affordable for a typical U.S. household If you found the U.S. housing market impossible this year you were not alone. In fact, you were in the vast majority, according to … Continue reading

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Employment, National Real Estate | 57 Comments

Fitch – NJ is overpriced

From Fitch: Homes Prices Remain Overvalued in 88% of the U.S. Fitch Ratings-New York-20 December 2023: Fitch Ratings estimates that national home prices were 9.4% overvalued for 2Q2023 on a population-weighted average basis and expects overvaluation to remain elevated due … Continue reading

Posted in Demographics, Economics, National Real Estate, New Jersey Real Estate | 90 Comments

Home sales tick up, slightly

From the Real Deal: Existing home sales rise for first time since May It was by no means a blizzard of activity, but existing home sales increased from October to November, ending a cold spell for the moribund U.S. market. Sales … Continue reading

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Employment, National Real Estate | 61 Comments

Too Soon?

From CNN Business: America may have done the impossible: Avoid a recession For the past couple years, all the smart money was on a US recession taking place sometime before the next presidential election. To be clear: That absolutely could still happen. In … Continue reading

Posted in General | 111 Comments

Like the good ol’ days

From Business Insider: HENRYs are turning to a little-known and risky type of mortgage as home prices soar  With home prices and mortgage rates sky high, potential homeowners — even those with deep pockets — are looking for ways to ease the … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Employment, Housing Bubble, National Real Estate, NYC, Risky Lending | 112 Comments

Prediction Season!

From the APP: Realtor.com released 2024 forecast for top housing markets Coming in at No. 23 was the Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ area, with forecasts of : The next New Jersey market on the list was New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA, coming in … Continue reading

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Employment, Housing Bubble, New Jersey Real Estate | 47 Comments

Room to run

From Business Insider: The Fed brought some relief to the housing market The Federal Reserve’s forecast for easing monetary policy in 2024 fueled stocks to new highs, dragged bond yields lower, and sparked a fresh wave of exuberance across Wall Street.  … Continue reading

Posted in Housing Bubble, Mortgages, National Real Estate | 97 Comments

Party Time

From Barrons: Dow Soars 500 Points to Record Closing High The Dow Jones Industrial Average sprinted to a new record closing high after the Federal Reserve announced its latest monetary policy decision. The Dow gained 512 points, or 1.4% to … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, National Real Estate | 95 Comments

No unintended consequences here…

From the NJ Monitor: N.J. Senate approves penalties for discriminatory real estate appraisals Senate lawmakers approved a bill Monday that would create steep penalties for real estate appraisers who undervalue homes because of the owner or buyer’s protected characteristics, with Republican critics … Continue reading

Posted in Demographics, Economics, Politics | 97 Comments